Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers Pick 9-25-19

September 25, 8:05 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Red Sox -155 / Rangers +135

This match is the 2nd of a three-game series. In the first game, the Red Sox beat the Rangers 12-10. The Red Sox scored 12 runs on 14 hits, and the Rangers scored ten runs on 15 hits. Boston scored all 12 runs in the first five innings, and every player in the lineup got a hit.

The Red Sox are out of the playoff picture, but they have won two of their last three games. The Rangers have been out of the playoff race for a long time, and they are reeling losing eight of their previous nine games.

This season the Red Sox rank 4th in runs scored and 19th in team ERA and the Rangers rank 12th in runs scored and 23rd in team ERA.


Pitching Match-Up

Boston: Rick Porcello (13-12 5.56 ERA)

Texas: Kolby Allard (4-1 4.25 ERA)

After giving up six runs in two starts in two Red Sox losses Porcello has gotten back on track in the last two starts totaling 11 innings and only giving up two earned runs. His previous start was a great one going six innings and not giving up any earned runs and only allowing two hits but came in a 5-4 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. In Porcello's last three road starts he has given up four earned runs in 16 innings of work, and the Red Sox have won five of his previous six road starts. In Porcello's only start against the Rangers on June 12th in Boston, he gave up two earned runs in six 2/3 innings in a 4-3 Boston win. In 13 career starts facing Texas Porcello is 7-4 with an ERA of 4.94.

Allard made his season debut on August 9th in a Rangers loss, but the team went on to win six in a row with him on the hill until his last start. In his previous outing, he gave up two earned runs on four hits in five innings but did not get much help from the lineup in a 3-2 loss to the Houston Astros. In three home starts, this season Allard has an ERA of 7.36 while on the road he has a solid ERA of 2.60. This start is Allard's first of his career against the Red Sox. He gave up one HR in his last start and had not given up one in his previous four starts.

Betting Angles

  • The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last four road games against the Rangers.
  • The Red Sox are 16-5 in their last 21 games against the Rangers.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Boston Red Sox: 82-75 SU / O/U 87-65 / Run Line W/L 68-89

Texas Rangers: 75-82 SU / O/U 71-82 / Run Line W/L 83-74

Key Betting Trends

  • BOS is 2-7 in their last nine games after a win
  • BOS is 84-36 in their previous 120 games against a team with a losing record
  • BOS has an Over record of 7-0-1 in their last eight games
  • TEX is 1-8 in their last nine games
  • TEX is 0-4 in their previous four home games
  • TEX has an Over record of 7-3 in their past ten games against a right-hand starter

Team Info

The Red Sox will not be defending their World Series title, as they are eliminated from playoff contention. They have won two of their last three games where they totaled 19 runs in the two wins and four in the loss. Boston split the four-game series with Texas at home in the first half of the season.

Boston’s Rafael Devers and Xander Bogarts rank 2nd and 3rd, respectively, in the AL in RBI.

Texas is reeling to end the season losers of eight of their last nine games, and they have dropped their previous four home games. Their pitching has been the main issue on the season, and the staff has not been good as of late giving up 12 runs in two of their last three games.

Texas recently snapped a seven-game win streak in the last game of their previous series before this one with Boston.

On the season the Rangers are 45-34 on the road and the Rangers are 42-34 at home.

Key Injuries


Reigning MVP Mookie Betts is listed as questionable for this game after leaving Game 1 in the 2nd inning with a foot injury.


OF Nomar Mazara and RP Jeff Mathis are both listed as questionable for this game and DH Hunter Pence is out indefinitely.

Red Sox at Rangers Prediction 09/25/19

The Rangers are reeling, and they face a hot hurler in Porcello who is coming off a great outing. The Red Sox have won five straight against the Rangers when Porcello has gotten the start. Allard is not coming off a bad outing, but he will get tagged up in this one at home where he has struggled on the season. The Red Sox lineup has been good on the season and especially as of late and with them solid at the dish in this game and a good start from Porcello it equals a Red Sox win.

Free Pick: 
Take the Red Sox -155

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