Boston Red Sox vs. L.A. Dodgers World Series Game 3 Pick - Betting Odds

Date: 
October 26, 8:09 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Dodgers -155 / Red Sox +135
Total: 
7.5

MLB Betting Line

The Dodgers opened Game 3 of the World Series as -161 home favorites with a total of 7.5 runs and the total have remained the same as of Thursday morning, but L.A. is now posted at -155. In the run-line wager for this game, the Red Sox are at -160 getting 1.5 runs and the Dodgers are at +140 giving 1.5 runs.

World Series Game 3 Set-up

The Red Sox took a 2-0 series lead yesterday with their 4-2 win over the Dodgers in Game 2. The Red Sox scored four runs on eight hits, and the Dodgers scored two runs on only three hits. Boston scored three of their four runs in the 5th inning where J.D. Martinez hit a two-run single with two outs to break the 2-2 tie.

The Red Sox are riding a six-game winning streak, and they have not lost since losing Game 1 of the ALCS to the Houston Astros. Boston has won 14 of their last 16 World Series games starting with sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals in 2004, and they also won the series in 2007 and 2013.

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The Dodgers have their backs against the Wall down 2-0 in this series, but so far in the playoffs, they are 4-1 at home. However, the last 10 teams that have won the first two games of the World Series have gone on to win it. L.A. will try to cool down a Boston team that has won all five of their road games in this post-season.

This season the Red Sox rank 1st in runs scored and 8th in team ERA and the Dodgers rank 6th in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA.

Head-To-Head

The Red Sox have won nine of their last 12 games against the Dodgers.

Pitching Match-Up

Boston: Rick Porcello (17-7 4.28 ERA)
L.A.: Walker Buehler (8-5 2.62 ERA)

Porcello’s last start was in Game 4 of the ALCS where he did not have the best outing giving up four earned runs on seven hits in four innings, but the lineup had his back in an 8-6 Boston win over the Astros. In his other playoff start, this season he gave up one earned run in five innings in a 4-3 win over the New York Yankees. In these playoffs, Porcello has four appearances, including two starts, and has given up five earned runs in 10 2/3 innings of work.

Porcello did not allow any HR in his first three post-season appearances, but in his last outing he gave up two. The Red Sox have won four of Porcello’s last five road starts and they have won 15 of his last 16 interleague starts.

Buehler's was a big one in Game 7 of the NLCS, and he came up big only giving up one earned run on six hits in four 2/3 innings in a 5-1 win over the Milwaukee Brewers. That start was much better than his two others in the playoffs where he gave up nine earned runs in 12 innings. In Buehler’s three playoff starts he has struck out 22 batters and walked four and has given up one HR in each outing.

The Dodgers won all four of Buehler’ interleague starts this season. The Dodgers have won seven of Buehler's last 10 home starts, and they have won his last five Friday starts.

Boston at Los Angeles MLB Betting Angles

The Red Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 games against the Dodgers.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Record

Boston Red Sox: 117-56 SU / O/U 84-80 / Run Line W/L 100-73
L.A. Dodgers: 97-75 SU / O/U 78-86 / Run Line W/L 77-95

Red Sox at Dodgers MLB Key Betting Trends

  • BOS is 6-0 in their last 6 games
  • BOS is 5-0 in their last 5 road games
  • BOS has an Over record of 16-5-1 in their previous 22 games
  • LA is 17-5 in their last 22 home games
  • LA is 19-7 in their last 26 interleague home games
  • LA has an Under record of 4-0-2 in their previous 6 home games

Key Player Injuries

RED SOX

[P] 10/07/2018 - Steven Wright is out indefinitely ( Knee )
[P] 09/27/2018 - Tyler Thornburg is out for season ( Shoulder )
[2B] 06/02/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season ( Knee )
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )

DODGERS

[P] 10/08/2018 - Erik Goeddel 60-day DL (08/17) ( Elbow )
[P] 09/18/2018 - Daniel Hudson 60-day DL (08/25) ( Forearm )
[P] 09/03/2018 - Brock Stewart 60-day DL (09/03) ( Oblique )
[P] 06/10/2018 - Dennis Santana 60-day DL (06/05) ( Rotator Cuff )
[SS] 05/01/2018 - Corey Seager is out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Tom Koehler 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )

Get more details: Boston at L.A MLB Match-Up

World Series Game 3 Prediction 10/26/2018

The Red Sox have gotten off to a great start in this series winning the first two games at home and are riding a six-game win streak. In the five home games for L.A, in this post-season, they only gave up seven runs, and four of those came in the one loss with Buehler on the hill in that game giving up all four runs. That said, on the season Buehler has been brilliant at home with a 2.20 ERA and excellent 0.84 WHIP. Porcello did not have the sharpest of last outings but got a lot of help from the lineup in the 8-6 win. The Boston starter lasted just five innings and hadn't completed six or more innings in his last nine outings. The Boston bullpen has been ultra-sharp allowing one earned run in the first two games, but they have worked eight innings and may start to show some cracks if they have to come in early for Porcello.

Free Pick: 
Take the LA Dodgers -155
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