Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs

Date: 
July 2, 7:15 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
BOS -137 / CHC +127
Total: 
9.5un -116

After coming from behind to take the opener of this three-game inter-league affair Friday afternoon the Cubs shoot for the series victory when the teams meet again Saturday evening at Wrigley Field.

Spot starter Alec Mills gets the call for the Cubbies here against rookie Josh Winckowski for the BoSox.

Which way are we going here with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Saturday’s baseball betting lines opened Boston at around -145 over the Cubs, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action then dropped the Red Sox to -137 and that total held.

Boston could also be found getting around +105 giving the run and a half on the run line.

Red Sox-Cubs MLB Betting Preview

Chicago grabbed the first game of this series Friday afternoon 6-5. The Cubs spotted Boston the first four runs of the game, then scored three in the fifth inning and three in the sixth and hung on from there for the victory.

Chicago cashed in Friday as a +125 underdog on the dime line and the game played over a total of eight runs.

With Friday’s win the Cubs are 6-3 over their last nine games. At 31-46 overall Chicago trails the St. Louis by 11 games in the battle for the third and final National League wild-card spot.

With Friday’s loss the Red Sox are 1-3 over their last four games. At 43-34 overall Boston trails the first-place Yankees by 13 games in the AL East but also owns the No. 2 spot in the American League wild-card standings.

This series is the first meeting between these two teams since 2017.

Saturday's Pitching Match-Up

Mills is 0/1 on quality starts this season, to go along with five appearances in relief. Last Sunday he got clipped by St. Louis for five runs and three home runs through just 2 2/3 innings, although Chicago won that game 6-5 in 10 innings. And over his last three appearances Mills has allowed 15 runs and 19 hits through just 8 1/3 innings of work.

This will be Mills’ first action against Boston since his ML debut back in 2016, which is a long time ago.

Winckowski is 1/4 on quality starts this year but he’s been good lately. Last Saturday he held Cleveland to two runs and six hits through 5 1/3 innings of a 4-2 Red Sox victory. And over his last three starts he’s allowed four runs and 17 hits through 17 innings.

Boston is 3-1 with Winckowski this season and that’s what they should be, based on his performances.

This will be Winckowski’s first career action against the Cubs.

Splits With the Sticks

Boston is batting .260 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .320 team OBP and a .411 team slugging percentage. The Red Sox have also scored at least five runs eight times over their last 10 games.

Chicago is slashing .249/.329/.396 against right-handed pitching. The Cubs have also scored 29 runs over their last three games.

The Bullpens

The Chicago bullpen owns a 4.64 ERA this season, along with a 1.35 WHIP.

The Boston bullpen, despite blowing Friday’s game, owns a 3.79 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox are 23-18 on the road this season and 30-30 against right-handed starters.
  • The Cubs are 16-26 at home and 22-34 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

  • The Under is 37-31 in Red Sox games this season.
  • The Over is 38-35 in Cubs games.
  • The Over is 21-17 at Wrigley Field this season.

Red Sox vs Cubs Betting Prediction 7/2/22

We give Winckowski the check-mark in the pitching match-up. Boston also owns a slight edge with the sticks and a solid edge in the bullpen comparison. So we like the Red Sox. We also like gambling. So we’ll chase the better price and play Boston against the run line.
 
Free Pick: 
Take Boston -1.5 +113