Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Betting Preview & Bet
Date:
August 1, 9:40 pm
Location:
T-Mobile Park
TV:
MLBN
Betting Odds
Moneyline:
Bos +100/Sea -120
Total:
8
Two teams trying to stay close in the American League wild-card race meet when the Mariners and Red Sox play the middle game of a three-game set in Seattle Tuesday night. Bryce Miller takes the mound for the Mariners against Brayan Bello for Boston in a battle of young right-handers.
MLB Betting Odds
Tuesday’s baseball betting market opened this game at right around a pick ‘em, with an over/under set at eight runs. Early betting action then slid the Mariners into -120 favorites.
Team Analysis
Seattle Mariners
The Mariners are 5-1 over their last six games. At 55-51 overall, they trail Toronto by 3.5 games in the battle for the third and final American League wild-card spot. They are slashing .231/.313/.402 against right-handed pitching.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox are currently on a three-game losing skid. At 56-50 overall, they trail the Blue Jays by 2.5 games in the AL wild-card race. They are batting .265 against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitching Match-Up
Seattle Mariners - Bryce Miller
Miller is 7/14 on quality starts this season. He had a rough outing last Wednesday, giving up six runs and four home runs in 5 2/3 innings, but Seattle managed to win that game 8-7. He has shown inconsistency, but the Mariners have a winning record when he starts.
Boston Red Sox - Brayan Bello
Bello is 8/17 on quality starts this year, but he has struggled in his last three starts. He had a solid performance last Wednesday, holding Atlanta to three runs in six innings during a 5-3 Red Sox win. However, he gave up nine runs and five home runs in his two starts prior to that.
Hitting and Bullpen Analysis
Hitting Stats
The Red Sox are batting .265 against right-handed pitching this season, while the Mariners are slashing .231/.313/.402 against right-handed pitching.
Bullpen Performance
The Mariners' bullpen owns a 3.63 ERA this season, but they recently traded closer Paul Sewald. On the other hand, the Red Sox bullpen has a 3.69 ERA.
MLB Betting Trends and Totals Report
MLB Betting Trends
The Red Sox are 26-27 on the road this season and 39-38 against right-handed starters. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 30-25 at home and 42-38 against right-handed starters.
Totals Report
The overs are 54-50 in Red Sox games this season, and the unders are 53-52 in Mariners games. At T-Mobile Park, the totals are 29-24 this season.
Red Sox at Mariners Moneyline Pick 8/1/23
We give Bello the edge in the pitching match-up based on his solid performance against Seattle earlier this season. Additionally, Boston owns the advantage in the splits with the sticks, while the bullpens come out very close. Considering the wrong team is favored here, we’re betting on the Red Sox to rebound Tuesday night.
Free Pick:
Take Boston +100
