Boston Red Sox at San Francisco Giants Pick & Analysis

Boston Red Sox at San Francisco Giants Pick & Analysis

Darin Zank
Date: July 29, 7:15 pm
Location: Oracle Park
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bos -120/SF +100
Total: 8

After taking the first game of this three-game inter-league affair, the Red Sox shoot for the series victory Saturday night at Oracle Park. Rookie right-hander Ryan Walker will try to get the Giants on the board here against veteran lefty James Paxton for Boston.

MLB Betting Odds

Saturday’s baseball betting market opened with Boston and Paxton at around -120 over San Francisco and Walker, with an over/under set at eight runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

Team Analysis

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox have been on a roll with a five-game winning streak, putting them in the No. 6 spot in the American League playoff standings. They are batting .266 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .327 team on-base percentage and a .442 team slugging percentage.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants have struggled recently, going 2-7 over their last nine games, and they are currently tied with Miami for the No. 6 spot in the National League playoff standings. They are slashing .240/.301/.371 against left-handed pitching.

Pitching Match-Up

San Francisco Giants - Ryan Walker

Walker is 0/6 on quality starts this season, pitching as an “opener” with 18 appearances in relief. He's shown improvement recently, allowing just two runs and five hits over his last six appearances. San Francisco is 6-0 when Walker starts this season.

Boston Red Sox - James Paxton

Paxton is 7/12 on quality starts this year. He's had some ups and downs, but he recently held the Mets to two runs and three hits in a Sox win. Boston is 6-6 with Paxton this season.

Hitting and Bullpen Analysis

Hitting Stats

The Red Sox are batting .266 against right-handed pitching this season, while the Giants are slashing .240/.301/.371 against left-handed pitching.

Bullpen Performance

The Giants' bullpen owns a 3.73 ERA this season, along with a 1.22 WHIP and a 3.21 K/BB ratio. The Red Sox's bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a 2.70 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends and Totals Report

MLB Betting Trends

The Red Sox are 26-24 on the road this season and 39-36 against right-handed starters. The Giants are 28-23 at home and 16-12 against left-handed starters.

Totals Report

The overs are 53-48 in Red Sox games this season, while the unders are 56-45 in Giants games. At Oracle Park, the unders are 28-21 this season.

Red Sox vs. Giants Betting prediction 7/29/23

Boston is on a winning streak while San Francisco has been struggling. We like Paxton in the pitching match-up and the Red Sox own a solid edge with the sticks. We’re betting on Boston to continue their winning ways on Saturday night.

Free Pick: Take Boston -120
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