Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Picks & Predictions

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Picks & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: August 21, 7:00 pm
Location: Bowman Field
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Pick'em
Total: 8.5ov -115

<p>After splitting the first two games of this AL East series, the Red Sox and Orioles meet for a rubber match Sunday night as part of the Little League Classic at Bowman Field in Williamsport, Penn. Dean Kremer gets the call for Baltimore here against Nick Pivetta for Boston.</p>
<p>Who do we like with our <b>free baseball betting pick</b>?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds</h2>
<p>Sunday's baseball betting lines opened this game at right around a pick 'em, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.</p>
<h2>Red Sox-Orioles MLB Betting Preview</h2>
<p>Baltimore won the opener of this series Friday night 15-10, but Boston won Saturday's game 4-3. The Orioles won Friday as -105 favorites on the dime line, while the Red Sox won Saturday as -125 chalk.</p>
<p>With Saturday's win, Boston is 6-3 over its last nine games. But at 60-61 overall, the Red Sox are still five games behind Tampa Bay in the battle for the third and final American League wild-card spot.</p>
<p>With Saturday's loss, Baltimore is 4-6 over its last ten games. At 62-58 overall, the Orioles trail the Rays by 2.5 games in that AL wild-card race.</p>
<p>Baltimore leads the season series with Boston six games to five.</p>
<p>Bowman Field has hosted four MLB games previously; the Pirates beat the Cardinals 6-3 in 2017; the Mets beat the Phillies 8-2 in '18; the Cubs beat the Pirates 7-1 in 2019; and last year, the Indians beat the Angels 3-0. So the ballpark plays to ML specifications.</p>
<h2>Sunday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/330437&quot; title="Dean Kremer Pitching Game Stats">Kremer</a> is 4/13 on quality starts this season and two for his last three. Tuesday, he held Toronto to two runs and seven hits through seven innings of a 4-2 Baltimore victory. And over his last three starts, he's allowed six runs and 17 hits through 19 innings, with two walks against 14 strikeouts.</p>
<p>The Orioles are 8-5 with Kremer this season, although that's actually probably one win better than they should be, based on his performances.</p>
<p>In his only career start against Boston, ten days ago at Fenway Park, Kremer allowed four runs and six hits through 5 2/3 innings of a 4-3 Orioles loss.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/100337&quot; title="Nick Pivetta Pitching Game Logs">Pivetta </a>is 9/24 on quality starts this year but 0 for his last seven. Most recently, 11 days ago, he gave up three runs and five hits through six innings of an 8-4 Red Sox loss to Atlanta. And over his last three starts, he's allowed ten runs and 21 hits, including four home runs, through 16 innings.</p>
<p>Boston is 12-12 with Pivetta this season but only 2-5 his last seven times out.</p>
<p>Over two starts already this season against Baltimore, Pivetta allowed four runs and 11 hits through 10 1/3 innings. The Red Sox split those two games.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks</h2>
<p>Boston is batting .252 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .309 team OBP and a .398 team slugging percentage.</p>
<p>Baltimore is slashing .242/.307/.399 against right-handed pitching.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens</h2>
<p>The Orioles bullpen owns a 3.15 ERA this season, along with a 1.19 WHIP.</p>
<p>The Red Sox pen owns a 4.49 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.<br />
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<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1604061">Boston at Baltimore 8/21/22 Betting Stats</a>
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<h2>MLB Betting Trends</h2>
<p>The Red Sox are 31-31 on the road this season and 43-51 against right-handed starters.</p>
<p>The Orioles are 34-23 at home and 37-41 against right-handed starters.</p>
<h2>Totals Report</h2>
<ul>
<li>The Under is 57-54 in Red Sox games this season.</li>
<li>The Under is 59-55 in Orioles games.</li>
<li>The Under is 6-4 in Red Sox-Orioles games this season.</li>
</ul>

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8/21/22

We'll call this pitching match-up a wash, as are the splits with the sticks. But Baltimore owns a solid edge in the bullpen comparison. Plus, the Orioles are still right in the fight for a wild-card berth while Boston is fading. We're betting Baltimore Sunday night. 

Free Pick: Take Baltimore
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