Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Bet Preview & Predictions

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Bet Preview & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: July 20, 6:40 pm
Location: : Tropicana Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Balt +165/TB -185
Total: 8ov -112

Two top teams in the American League will clash as the Baltimore Orioles (58-37) face the
Tampa Bay Rays (60-39) in a highly anticipated four-game series at Tropicana Field on Thursday
night. Tyler Glasnow will take the mound for the Rays, while Kyle Gibson will pitch for the
Orioles.

MLB Betting Odds

The opening MLB betting odds for this game favored the Tampa Bay Rays and Tyler Glasnow at
around -165, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then moved the odds further in
favor of the Rays, making them -180 favorites.

Orioles-Rays Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles recently avoided a sweep by winning the series finale 8-5 against the
Los Angeles Dodgers. Prior to that, they swept three games from the Miami Marlins and another
three games at Minnesota.

Over their last four series, the Orioles have a 2-1-1 record and have won nine out of their
last 11 games. With a 58-37 overall record, they have been in impressive form.

The Tampa Bay Rays recently suffered a three-game sweep at the hands of the Texas Rangers,
losing the series finale 5-1. Prior to that, they took two out of three games against the Kansas
City Royals but lost two out of three games against the Atlanta Braves.

Over their last five series, the Rays have struggled, posting a 1-4 record. They have gone
3-11 in their last 14 games, which is a slight dip from their earlier form. However, with a 60-39
overall record, they are still in contention for the best record in the American League.

This series marks the third meeting between these AL East rivals this season. In May, the
Orioles won two out of three low-scoring games against the Rays at Camden Yards. In June, the
teams split a two-game series at Tropicana Field.

Thursday's Pitching Match-Up

Tyler Glasnow has recorded only two quality starts out of nine this season. However, he has
shown recent improvement, delivering a solid performance in his last outing against the Kansas
City Royals. He allowed just one run and six hits over six innings, contributing to a 6-1 victory
for the Rays. Over his last four starts, Glasnow has limited opponents to seven runs (six earned)
and 19 hits in 22 1/3 innings. He has accumulated four walks and an impressive 38 strikeouts
during that span.

Although the Rays have posted a 5-4 record in games started by Glasnow this season, it may not
fully reflect his game-by-game performances.

In his only start against the Baltimore Orioles this season, which took place one month ago,
Glasnow struggled. He gave up six runs in just the first two innings, leading to an 8-6 loss for
the Rays.

Kyle Gibson has recorded nine quality starts out of 19 this year. However, he has only managed
one quality start in his last five outings. In his most recent start against the Miami Marlins,
he gave up five runs and nine hits over 5 1/3 innings, but the Orioles came back to win the game
6-5. Over his last five starts, Gibson has surrendered 22 earned runs and 31 hits in 26
innings.

Despite Gibson's struggles, the Orioles have managed a 10-9 record in games he has started
this season, which may be slightly better than expected.

In his one start against the Rays this season, which occurred in May, Gibson performed well.
He allowed only two runs and six hits over six innings, but the Orioles lost the game 3-0.

Splits With the Sticks

The Baltimore Orioles have recorded a .252 batting average against right-handed pitching this
season, accompanied by a .319 team on-base percentage and a .426 team slugging percentage.
Notably, the Orioles have scored at least five runs six times over their last eight games.

The Tampa Bay Rays have produced a .255/.329/.450 slash line against right-handed pitching.
However, the Rays have struggled to score runs recently, being held to three runs or less in six
of their last ten games.

The Bullpens

The Rays' bullpen has recorded a 3.84 ERA this season, along with a 1.22 WHIP and a 2.23
strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/BB).

The Orioles' bullpen has posted a 3.74 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a 2.83 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles have been successful on the road this season, posting a 28-17 record.
Additionally, they have performed well against right-handed starting pitchers, going 37-27 in
those matchups.

The Tampa Bay Rays have excelled at home, with a 35-15 record. They have also fared well
against right-handed starting pitchers, going 47-34 in those games.

Totals Report

The over has prevailed in 51 of the Orioles' games this season, while the over has hit in 52
of the Rays' games. In games played at Tropicana Field, the over has hit in 31 of them.

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Free Moneyline Pick 9/20/23

Tyler Glasnow holds the advantage in the pitching match-up, although it is a close call considering recent performances against these opponents. Moreover, the Baltimore Orioles have been displaying hotter bats and potentially possess the better bullpen. Additionally, while the
Rays have experienced a dip in form recently, and the Orioles have maintained their strong play. Given the attractive underdog price on Baltimore, we find value in betting on the Orioles.

Free Pick: Take the Orioles +165
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