Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Picks - Betting Lines

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Picks - Betting Lines

The Green Man
Date: May 1, 7:10 pm
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Sox -140 / Orioles +130
Total: 8,5

<p>
The 15-8 Baltimore Orioles take on the 13-11 Boston Red Sox in the first game of a four-game set at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts tonight. The first pitch at Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are a medium sized moneyline favorite for this match over the Orioles with their backers having to lay -140. The total for this game is on the board at 8 runs.
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<p>
In their last game the Orioles beat the New York Yankees 7-4 in 11 innings. In the game the Orioles scored seven runs on 11 hits and the Yankees scored four runs on 13 hits.
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<p>
In their last game the Red Sox beat the Chicago Cubs 6-2. In the game the Red Sox scored six runs on six hits and the Cubs scored two runs on five hits. Boston broke the game open in the 8th inning scoring four runs.
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<p>
This season the Orioles rank tied for 20th in the Majors in runs scored and 18th in team ERA.
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<p>
The Red Sox rank 25th in the Majors in runs scored and 4th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Baltimore: Dylan Bundy (3-1, 1.65 ERA)<br />
Boston: Rick Porcello (1-3, 4.75 ERA)
</p>
<p>
Dylan Bundy gets the call for the Orioles in the first game of this division series and in his last outing he was solid giving up two earned runs in six innings in a 5-4 win over the Tampa Bay Rays. He ranks 6th in the AL in ERA and the Orioles have won four of his five starts this season including his last three. Previous to his last start Bundy had not given up any runs in two straight starts where he totaled 13 innings. In his career facing the Red Sox he is 2-3 with an ERA of 4.76. Baltimore has won five of Bundy’s last six starts overall and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record with him on the hill.
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<p>
Rick Porcello goes for the Red Sox tonight and in his last start he gave up two earned runs in six innings in a 3-1 loss to the New York Yankees. After winning his first two starts of the season Boston has lost his last three outings. Porcello has pitched well in his last two starts totaling 13 innings and giving up two earned runs, but he got no help from the lineup with the Red Sox only scoring one run in those two games. In 15 career starts against Baltimore Porcello is 4-8 with an ERA of 4.88. Boston has won 19 of his last 26 home starts.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
</h2>
<p>
In the last 11 games between these teams the Under record is 8-2-1.
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<p>
These teams recent played a three game series in Baltimore where the Orioles won two of three games.
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<p>
This season the Red Sox are 9-5 at home and the Orioles are 7-5 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
Baltimore Orioles: 15-8 SU / O/U 12-9 / Run Line W/L 11-12<br />
Boston Red Sox: 13-11 SU / O/U 8-14 / Run Line W/L 12-12
</p>
<h2>
Baltimore at Boston Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
BAL is 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter
</li>
<li>
BAL is 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game
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<li>
BAL has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games
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<li>
BOS is 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win
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<li>
BOS is 11-5 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
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<li>
BOS has an Under record of 12-5-2 in their last 19 home games
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>ORIOLES</b><br />
[CF] 04/02/2017 - Anthony Santander 10-day DL (03/30) ( Forearm )<br />
[P] 04/16/2017 - Zach Britton 10-day DL (4/16) ( Forearm )<br />
[1B] 04/30/2017 - Chris Davis "?" Monday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 03/31/2017 - Chris Tillman 10-day DL (03/30) ( Shoulder )
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<p>
<b>RED SOX</b><br />
[P] 03/30/2017 - David Price 10-day DL (4/1) ( Elbow )<br />
[3B] 04/25/2017 - Pablo Sandoval 10-day DL (4/24) ( Knee )<br />
[LF] 04/21/2017 - Brock Holt 10-day DL (4/21) ( Vertigo )<br />
[P] 04/01/2017 - Tyler Thornbur 10-day DL (4/1) ( Undisclosed )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (4/1) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Roenis Elias 10-day DL (4/1) ( Oblique )
</p>

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Orioles had lost two in a row where their pitching was hammered giving up 26 runs before giving up four in their last win. They are tied with the Yankees atop the AL East with the Red Sox 2.5 games back. Porcello won 20 games last season, but only has one win this season and while he has pitched very well in his last couple of outings he has gotten little run support. On the other side of the coin Bundy has also been solid as of late and in his last three starts the Orioles have combined to score 18 runs. The Boston offense has struggled on the season, but in taking two of three from the defending champion Cubs in their last series they totaled 15 runs. Porcello will finally get some run support tonight and while it will not be much he will not need it having another quality start and lead the Red Sox to a win.

Free Pick: Take the Red Sox -140
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