Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview & Predictions

Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview & Predictions

Jeff Scott
Date: May 6, 7:15 pm
Location: Truist Park
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Bal +205/Atl -227
Total: 8ov -115

<p>After taking the opener of this three-game interleague series Friday night, the upstart Orioles are looking for more on Saturday night in Atlanta. Spencer Strider and the Braves are heavily favored against Kyle Bradish and Baltimore.</p>
<p>Which way are we going with our free Bal/Atl 5/6/23 pick?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Saturday's baseball betting market opened with Atlanta and Strider at around -220 over Baltimore and Bradish, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped the Braves 20 cents to -240.</p>
<h2>Orioles-Braves Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Baltimore claimed the opener of this series Friday night with a 9-4 victory. The Orioles allowed Atlanta the first run of the game, only led 2-1 through six innings, and then scored seven runs in the top of the seventh, on their way to victory.</p>
<p>Baltimore won Friday as a +200 underdog against Braves' starter Max Fried, while the game played over a total of 8.5.</p>
<p>With Friday's win, the Orioles are 7-2 over their last nine games. At 22-10 overall, Baltimore is off to a great start, playing against a season wins over/under of 77.</p>
<p>With Friday's loss, Atlanta is still 7-3 over its last 10 games. At 22-11 overall, the Braves lead the NL East by five games over the second-place Mets.</p>
<h2>Saturday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/440796&quot; title="Spencer Strider Pitching Game Logs">Strider has three quality starts</a> in six appearances this season. On Monday against the Mets, pitching with a big early lead, he allowed four runs on five hits and three walks through five innings in a 9-8 Atlanta victory. In his two starts prior to that, he held San Diego and Miami scoreless on three hits through 14 innings, with three walks against 22 strikeouts.</p>
<p>The Braves are 6-0 with Strider this season, although that's probably a game or two better than they should be, based on his performances.</p>
<p>This will be Strider's first career action against Baltimore.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/457094&quot; title="Kyle Bradish Pitching Game Stats">Bradish</a> has one quality start in four appearances this year. Last Sunday against Detroit, he gave up three runs and six hits through only 4 2/3 innings in a 5-3 Orioles win. Just before that, Boston got him for seven runs in less than three innings of an 8-6 Baltimore defeat.</p>
<p>The Orioles are 3-1 with Bradish this season, but that's probably a game better than they should be.</p>
<p>This will be Bradish's first career action against Atlanta.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks</h2>
<p>Baltimore is batting .252 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .332 team OBP and a .417 team slugging percentage. The Orioles have also scored at least five runs eight times over their last 10 games.</p>
<p>Atlanta is slashing .243/.331/.431 against right-handed pitching. The Braves have also scored at least six runs six times over their last 10 games.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Atlanta bullpen owns a 3.86 ERA this season, along with a 1.17 WHIP and an MLB-best 3.88 K/BB ratio.</p>
<p>The Baltimore pen has a 3.30 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a 3.15 K/BB ratio.</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>Baltimore is 12-6 on the road this season and 11-6 against right-handed starters.</li>
<li>Atlanta is 7-7 at home and 13-8 against right-handed starters.</li>
<li>Baltimore is 7-6 as an underdog this season.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Totals Report</h2>
<ul>
<li>The overs are 18-12 in Orioles games this season.</li>
<li>The overs are 19-13 in Braves games.</li>
<li>The overs are 12-3 at Truist Park this season.</li>
<p></</p>

Baltimore at Atlanta Moneyline Pick 5/6/23

Strider gets the obvious check-mark in the pitching match-up, but from there, we're calling both the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison a wash. So, from what we can tell, the line on this game is significantly inflated. Betting baseball often comes down to finding value on these daily dime lines, and we're loving the value with Baltimore getting that generous underdog price.

 

Free Pick: Take Baltimore +205
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