Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Betting Preview & Predictions

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Betting Preview & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: August 13, 7:00 pm
Location: Citi Field
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Atl -135/NYM +115
Total: 9.5

In this week's edition of Sunday night baseball at Citi Field, the Braves aim to complete a sweep after winning the first three games of the NL East series against the Mets. Kodai Senga, the standout following the Mets' fire sale, will take the mound for New York, facing off against Atlanta's Yonny Chirinos.

MLB Betting Odds

Sunday's baseball betting market opened with Atlanta and Chirinos at around -130 over New York and Senga, with an over/under set at 9.5 runs. Early betting activity pushed the Braves' odds to -135.

Team Analysis

Atlanta Braves

The Braves dominated the series opener with a 7-0 victory on Friday night and proceeded to sweep a double-header from New York on Saturday with scores of 21-3 and 6-0. With these impressive performances, Atlanta has taken the lead in the season series, winning eight out of nine games against the Mets. The Braves, with a record of 75-41, maintain a strong position, leading Baltimore by 3.5 games in the race for the best record in baseball.

New York Mets

The Mets have struggled recently, losing 10 out of their last 12 games. With a current record of 52-65, they seem to be struggling through a challenging season.

Pitching Match-Up

New York Mets - Kodai Senga

Senga has displayed consistency in his recent starts, allowing a limited number of runs and hits. His recent performance against the Cubs resulted in a 6-inning outing, where he conceded two runs and seven hits. Over his last three starts, Senga allowed six runs and 20 hits in 17 2/3 innings, along with seven walks and 17 strikeouts. Despite the Mets' overall struggles, they maintain a record of 12-9 with Senga and a 3-1 record in his recent four starts.

Atlanta Braves - Yonny Chirinos

Chirinos, since joining the Braves, has yet to secure a quality start in three outings. His most recent start against Pittsburgh resulted in a challenging performance, allowing six runs and four home runs in five innings. However, the Braves managed to secure an 8-6 victory. Although Chirinos has allowed 13 runs and 19 hits in his three starts with the Braves, the team has provided strong run support, resulting in a 3-0 record when he's on the mound.

Hitting and Bullpen Analysis

Hitting Stats

The Braves boast a robust batting record against right-handed pitching this season, leading in various categories including a .341 team OBP and a .493 team slugging percentage. In contrast, the Mets are slashing .237/.320/.403 against right-handed pitching, displaying a notable gap in offensive prowess.

Bullpen Performance

The Mets' bullpen has an ERA of 4.48 this season, with a 1.33 WHIP and a 2.38 K/BB ratio. The Braves' bullpen, on the other hand, has a stronger performance with an ERA of 3.53, a 1.21 WHIP, and a 3.13 K/BB ratio. These impressive bullpen stats position the Braves' unit among the top three in baseball.

MLB Betting Trends and Totals Report

MLB Betting Trends

The Braves are 37-21 on the road this season and maintain a strong record of 60-34 against right-handed starters. The Mets, with a home record of 28-27, are 40-39 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

The Overs are 63-51 in Braves games this season, while the Unders are 63-47 in Mets games. At Citi Field, the Unders prevail with a record of 35-17 this season.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Pick 8/13/23

Considering the pitching match-up and the overall team performances, Senga holds the upper hand in the pitching department compared to Chirinos. Furthermore, the Braves exhibit solid advantages in hitting and bullpen strength. With a reasonable line, betting on the Braves to secure the victory on Sunday night seems like a promising choice.

Free Pick: Take Atlanta -135
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