Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Picks - Betting Odds

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Picks - Betting Odds

The Green Man
Date: April 29, 7:10 pm
Location: Miller Park
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers -126 / Braves +116
Total: 9

<p>
It’s the 9-12 Atlanta Braves versus the 12-12 Milwaukee Brewers in the 2nd game of a three-game set at Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin tonight. The first pitch at Miller Park is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. The host Brewers have hit the board as a -126 moneyline favorite over the visiting Braves. The total line for this game is on most betting boards at 9 runs.
</p>
<p>
In Game 1 of this series the Braves beat the Brewers 10-8. In the game the Braves scored 10 runs on 12 hits and the Brewers scored 8 runs on 13 hits. Atlanta’s Freddie Freeman hit a two-run HR in the top of the 9th, which broke an 8-8 tie.
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<p>
This season the Braves rank tied for 21st in the Majors in runs scored and 22nd in team ERA.
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<p>
The Brewers rank 3rd in the Majors in runs scored and 21st in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Atlanta: Jaime Garcia (0-1, 4.24 ERA)<br />
Milwaukee: Jimmy Nelson (1-1, 4.56 ERA)
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<p>
Jaime Garcia takes hill for the Braves looking for his first win of the season and in his last start he gave up two earned runs in six innings in a 4-3 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. The Braves had won his previous two starts and in his last two starts he has given up two earned runs and gone six innings in each. In 21 career appearances against the Brewers, including 20 starts, Garcia is 11-6 with an ERA of 2.88. He has two straight Quality Starts where he has taken a no decision in each game.
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<p>
Jimmy Nelson goes for the Brewers in the 2nd game of this series and in his last start he gave up three earned runs in five innings in a 6-4 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. The Brewers have lost his last two outings where he has totaled 10 innings and has given up 10 earned runs. Nelson faced the Braves once last season going six innings and striking out eight in a 2-1 Milwaukee win where he took a no decision. In two career starts against Atlanta Nelson is 0-1 with an ERA of 2.31. The Brewers have lost 18 of his last25 starts and six of his last home starts. On top of that Milwaukee has lost six of their last seven games facing a team with a losing record with Nelson on the hill.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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<p>
The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Brewers in Milwaukee.
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<p>
In the last 13 games between these teams the Under record is 9-3-1.
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<p>
In the last 21 games between these teams in Milwaukee the Under record is 15-5-1.
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<p>
This season the Brewers are 6-9 at home and the Braves are 5-9 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
Atlanta Braves: 9-12 SU / O/U 12-9 / Run Line W/L 13-8<br />
Milwaukee Brewers: 12-12 SU / O/U 16-8 / Run Line W/L 13-11
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<h2>
Atlanta at Milwaukee Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
ATL is 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record
</li>
<li>
ATL is 20-8 in their last 28 games following a win
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<li>
ATL has an Over record of 9-3 in their last 12 road games
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<li>
MIL is 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record
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<li>
MIL is 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a left-handed starter
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<li>
MIL has an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 home games
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</ul>
<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>BRAVES</b><br />
[P] 03/31/2017 - Mauricio Cabrera 10-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[1B] 04/01/2017 - Sean Rodriguez 60-day DL ( Shoulder )<br />
[2B] 04/02/2017 - Micah Johnson 10-day DL (03/30) ( Wrist )<br />
[P] 04/13/2017 - Chaz Roe 10-day DL (04/10) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Armando Rivero 10-day DL (03/30) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Daniel Winkler 10-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[2B] 04/28/2017 - Brandon Phillips "?" Saturday vs. Milwaukee Brewers ( Groin )
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<p>
<b>BREWERS</b><br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Junior Guerra 10-day DL ( Calf )
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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Braves have won three in a row after dropping six straight and in their streak their offense has been on fore combining for 25 runs in the three wins. They are still only ½ game out of the basement in the NL East and are six games back of the Washington Nationals. Garcia has been pretty solid as of late and the lefty will have a good outing in this game. This game is a tough call, as Nelson has struggled, but the Brewers have won 16 of their last 21 games facing left-handed starters. However, that trend will not continue. Garcia will pitch well and the Braves’ offense will get it done again facing Nelson and Atlanta will take Game 2 of this series and go for the sweep in this series tomorrow.

Free Pick: Take the Braves +116
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