Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Pick

June 27, 9:45 PM EDT

Betting Odds

ARI +100 / SF -110

Arizona's on a mini-run, while San Francisco is in a mini-skid, heading into the opener of a four-game NL West series Thursday night out at McCovey Cove. Who do we like here for our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Thursday's MLB betting odds opened San Francisco at around -110 over Arizona, with an over/under of 8.5 runs, and both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Set-Up

Arizona just took two of three games at home from the Dodgers, winning Wednesday's series rubber match 8-2. Just before that the Diamondbacks took the final game of a series with San Francisco. So Arizona is 3-1 over its last four games.

At 41-41 overall the D'Backs trail the division-leading Dodgers by 14 games in the NL West, but they're also only two games back of Milwaukee, Philadelphia and the Rockies in the battle for the two National League wild-card spots.

San Francisco, meanwhile, just lost two of three games at home to Colorado, losing Wednesday's rubber match 6-3. Just before that the Giants lost that last game of that series with the D'Backs. So San Francisco is 1-3 over its previous four games.

At 34-45 overall the Giants trail the Dodgers by 19.5 games in the NL West, but they're “only” 7.5 games out in that NL wild-card race.

Arizona leads the season series with San Francisco five games to four.

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Thursday's Starting Arms

Rookie righty Beede is 2/6 on quality starts this season and one for his last four. Last Saturday against this D'Backs team he gave up four runs on six hits and three walks through four innings of a game the Giants eventually won 7-4. And over his last four starts, he's allowed 14 earned runs on 19 hits and 14 walks through 19 2/3 innings.

San Fran is 5-1 with Beede this season, thanks in good part to some good run support.

In two career starts against Arizona, one last year and the one last weekend, Beede allowed six runs on nine hits and eight walks over eight innings. Somehow San Francisco won both those games.

Rookie lefty Young is making his ML debut Thursday. So far this season down at Triple-A Reno Young owns a 3-4 record with a 6.09 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP. But he was showing better over the last month or so down there, allowing eight runs over his previous 17 innings, with 20 strikeouts against three walks.

Earlier this year down at Spring Training Young gave up one run and two hits through 4 2/3 innings of work.

This being Young's first-ever appearance against the Giants could give him an edge, at least for the first couple of times through the lineup.

Thursday's Batting Splits

Arizona is batting .244/.314/.421 against right-handed pitching this season.

San Francisco is batting .216/.282/.328 against left-handed pitching this season, which ranks this lineup dead last in the Majors in this split.

The Bullpens

The D'Backs bullpen owns a 4.31 ERA this season and a 1.34 WHIP, while allowing a .747 OPS.

The Giants pen owns a 3.73 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP, while allowing a .674 OPS. Numbers like that help this unit rank among the top three or four reliever corps in Baseball.

Totals Report

  • Overs are 42-37 in Diamondbacks games this season.
  • Overs are 40-35 in Giants games this season.
  • Overs are 19-16 in games played at Oracle Park this season.
  • Overs are 6-3 in D'Backs-Giants games this season.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants prediction 6/27/19

Even though it's throwing a rookie making his ML debut we give Arizona a slight edge in the pitching match-up because unfamiliarity is better than familiarity, as far as pitchers go. Also, while San Francisco owns the edge in the bullpen, it's pathetic with the sticks. We're going with the Diamondbacks for our free MLB pick here.
Free Pick: 
Take the D'Backs +100