Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Odds & Free Pick

May 19, 7:40 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Diamondbacks -120 / Cubs +100

The Chicago Cubs host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday, May 19th at Wrigley Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places the Cubs as the favorite (-119), with an OU line set at 9.0.


Arizona: Zac Gallen (2-0, 1.05) Chicago: Marcus Stroman (1-3, 5.13)

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Cooper Hummel LF Alek Thomas CF Josh Rojas 3B Pavin Smith RF Ketel Marte CF Geraldo Perdomo SS Daulton Varsho CF David Peralta LF Christian Walker 1B Zac Gallen P

Cubs Projected Lineup

Patrick Wisdom 3B Jonathan Villar 2B Alfonso Rivas 1B Seiya Suzuki RF Frank Schwindel 1B Andrelton Simmons SS Willson Contreras C Ian Happ LF Rafael Ortega CF Marcus Stroman P


Arizona Diamondbacks: 18-21-0 SU / OU 15-23-1 / Run Line W/L 22-17-0 Chicago Cubs: 15-21-0 SU / OU 15-18-3 / Run Line W/L 20-16-0

Recent Form

The Diamondbacks come into this game having suffered a 5-3 loss to the LA Dodgers. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Diamondbacks staff allowed 9 hits. With their 9 hits, the Diamondbacks could only muster 3 runs. Arizona's loss came as the underdog, getting 250.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. So far, Arizona has been a good candidate to fall below the betting lines, as their over-under record sits at just 15-23-1.

After their 5 most recent games, the Diamondbacks have gone just 0-5. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -14. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 3.6 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 3.59. Arizona's overall series record is just 4-5-3.

The Cubs will look to bounce back from a tight 3-2 loss to the Pirates. For the game, the pitching staff held the Pirates to 3 runs on 9 hits. At the plate, the Cubs only came through for 2 runs on 5 hits. Chicago came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-155.0). For the season, the team has been favored in 10 games, winning at a rate of 40.0%. Combined, the Cubs and the Pirates' run total fell below the OU line of 8.0 runs. Now, Chicago had an over-under record of 15-18-3.

In their last 5 games, the Cubs have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team's run differential sits at 18. Chicago is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 5.0 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.11. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 4-6-2.

Pitching Matchup

Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks, with an overall record of 2-0. Currently, Gallen has a strong ERA of just 1.05 while pitching an average of 5.68 innings per outing. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.15. Home runs have also not been an issue for Gallen, as his giving up just 0.26 per 9. Per game, Zac Gallen is averaging 5.83, on a strikeout percentage of 27.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.31 walks per contest.

The Chicago Cubs will send Marcus Stroman to the mound with an overall record of 1-3. So far, Stroman has put together an ERA of 5.13. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.22 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.24. Home runs have been an issue for Stroman, as he is allowing an average of 1.38 per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 4.4 per game, on a K rate of 20.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.39 walks per contest.

Arizona vs Chicago History

For the season, Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs will be playing their 3rd game of the season. Chicago holds the edge in the series at 2-1. Through 3rd games, the series' over-under record is 0-3, with the average run total sitting at 8.17 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 1.33 runs. Dating back to last season, Chicago picked up 4 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 2-4. Last year, the Diamondbacks and Cubs averaged 8.17 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.5 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Arizona
  • Chi Cubs is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Prediction 5/19/22

In this matchup between Chicago and Arizona, I recommend taking the Diamondbacks on the moneyline. Zac Gallen has yet to give up more than 2 runs in any of his 6 starts. In addition, he will be facing a Chicago offense that struggles against right-handed pitching, ranking just 25th in home runs, and 20th in batting average.

Free Pick: 
Take Arizona +108