Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Odds & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: January 7, 8:15 pm
Location: TIAA Bank Field
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Tenn +6.5/Jack -6.5
Total: 40

<p>Neither team is above .500, but a division title will be decided when the 8-8 Jaguars host the 7-9 Titans Saturday night in Jacksonville. Not all that long ago, Tennessee looked like it owned a lock on the AFC South; six weeks later, Jacksonville looks like the team with the upper hand.</p>
<p>Who do we like here for our free Ten/Jax pick?</p>
<h2>NFL Betting Lines </h2>
<p>The Week 18 NFL betting odds opened Jacksonville as a seven-point home favorite for Saturday night, with an over/under of right around 39. Early betting action then edged that line down to -6.5 and bumped that total to 40.</p>
<h2>Titans Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Tennessee totes a six-game losing skid into Saturday night after falling at home to Dallas last Thursday 27-13. The Titans, with back-up QB Josh Dobbs making his first career NFL start in place of the injured Tannehill and without RB Henry, gave up the first 10 points of the game and trailed 10-6 at the half. Tennessee then gave up the first touchdown of the second half, pulled to within 17-13 late in the third quarter but could get no closer and came up short ATS as a 13-point dog.</p>
<p>The Titans got out-gained by the Cowboys 361-317, lost time of possession by a 33:27 split, and committed 124 yards worth of penalties.</p>
<p>Tennessee has now been out-gained by each of its last six opponents. It's also averaging just 15 points per game its last six times out, going 0-5-1 ATS in the process.</p>
<p>Two weeks ago the Titans lost to two-win Houston 19-14. Three weeks ago, Tennessee lost to the Chargers 17-14.</p>
<p>Six weeks ago, Tennessee looked like a shoo-in for the playoffs. Now, this team is on the verge of a total collapse. If the Titans lose this game, one wonder what changes might be in store for this team over the off-season.</p>
<h2>Jaguars Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Jacksonville, meanwhile, rides a four-game winning streak into Saturday after disposing of the Texans last Sunday 31-3. The Jaguars drove their first two possessions of the game to touchdowns and led 21-0 at the half. Jacksonville then drove its first possession of the second half to another touchdown and eased home from there for the victory and the cover at -4.</p>
<p>The Jags out-gained Houston 337-277 and out-rushed the Texans 169-84.</p>
<p>Jacksonville has now out-gained each of its last four opponents and out-rushed each of its last three foes. They're also 4-0 ATS its last four times out.</p>
<p>Two weeks ago, the Jags held the Jets to 227 yards of total offense and won 19-3. Three weeks ago, they rallied from a 17-point, second-half deficit to beat Dallas 40-34 in overtime. And four weeks ago, Jacksonville won at Tennessee 36-22.</p>
<p>At 8-8 overall the Jaguars lead the AFC South by one game and a tie-breaker over the 7-9 Titans. But if Tennessee wins this game it will own the better record within the division, and thus the division title.</p>
<h2>Titans-Jaguars Recent History</h2>
<p>Tennessee beat Jacksonville in nine out of 10 meetings from 2017 through last season. But the Jags won the first meeting between these teams this season a month ago, 36-22. Jacksonville trailed 14-7 in the second quarter but used a 29-0 run to take control.</p>
<p>The Jaguars out-gained Tennessee that day 428-364 and won the turnover battle 4-0.</p>
<p>Also, that game played over a total of 42 in the third quarter.</p>
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<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1655701">Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville 1/7/22 Betting Stats</a>
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</ul>
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<h2>NFL Betting Trends</h2>
<p>Outright winners are 202-45 ATS (82 percent) in the NFL this season.</p>
<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<ul>
<li>The Unders are 11-5 in Titans games this season which are averaging 39 total points.</li>
<li>The Totals are split 8-8 in Jaguars games this season, which are averaging 45 points.</li>
<li>Through Week 17, the Unders are 144-107 (57 percent) in the NFL this season.</li>
</ul>

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Pick ATS 1/7/23

Jacksonville is hot, Tennessee is not, and Big Mo weighs heavy at this time of the season. The Jaguars are getting good play at QB, running the ball, and playing better defense as of late. Meanwhile, the Titans are banged-up, iffy at QB, and Henry, while listed as probable for Saturday, is dealing with a sore hip. Also, the Jags just outplayed Tennessee a month ago; they might just do it again. We're giving the points with Jacksonville Saturday.

 

Free Pick: Take Jacksonville -6.5
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