Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers Betting Odds & Picks

Darin Zank
Date: December 4, 4:05 pm
Location: Levi's Stadium
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Mia +4/SF -4
Total: 46.5

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It's not exactly Joe Montana vs. Dan Marino, but it is two pretty good teams meeting in a possible Super Bowl preview when the 8-3 Dolphins take on the 7-4 49ers Sunday afternoon in Santa Clara. Miami, powered by an air-happy offense, leads the AFC East. San Francisco, anchored by a top-notch defense, leads the NFC West. Who do we like here for our free NFL betting pick?
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NFL Betting Lines<br />
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The Week 13 NFL betting odds opened San Francisco as a 4.5-point home favorite for Sunday, with an over/under of right around 46.5. Early betting action then edged that line down to -4.
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Dolphins-49ers NFL Betting Preview<br />
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Miami rides a five-game winning streak into Sunday after brushing off Houston last week 30-15. The Dolphins, thanks in part to a couple of early takeaways, hit the scoreboard on five of their first six possessions of the game, led 30-0 at the half, and cruise-controlled it from there for the victory and the cover as 14-point favorites. Miami out-gained the Texans 339-210, and three-quarters of the yardage the Dolphins' defense allowed came in garbage time. The Dolphins also won the turnover battle 3-1, cashing in once on a fumble return for a score. Miami has now out-gained each of its last six opponents and out-rushed four of its last five foes. It's also 3-1 ATS its last four times out. At 8-3 overall, the Dolphins lead the AFC East by a head-to-head tie-breaker over 8-3 Buffalo. Miami also trails 9-2 Kansas City by just one game in the battle for the best record in the AFC. But a loss Sunday could drop the Dolphins several spots. The AFC is fun to watch at the moment. San Francisco, meanwhile, owns a four-game winning streak after blanking New Orleans last week 13-0. The 49ers turned an early takeaway into the first three points of the game, led 10-0 at the half, added another field goal early in the third quarter, and eased home from there for the win and the cover at -9.5. San Francisco out-gained the Saints 317-260, dominated time of possession by a 35:25 split, and won the turnover battle 2-0, creating at least a +6 points differential. The 49ers also stopped New Orleans twice deep inside the red zone in the fourth quarter with the money on the line. The Niners have now out-gained and out-rushed each of their last four opponents, going 3-1 ATS along the way. At 7-4 overall San Francisco now leads the NFC West by one game over 6-5 Seattle. The 49ers trail 10-1 Philadelphia by three games in the battle for the best record in the NFC, and they're also only a half-game ahead of 7-5 Washington, which sits in the No. 7 spot. On the injury front, Miami could be without both starting tackles Sunday. On the other side of this match-up, both McCaffrey and Samuel are listed as questionable for San Francisco, but we expect both to play.
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Dolphins-49ers History<br />
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These teams don't meet very often, just 14 times before, most famously in Super Bowl 19, that 38-16 San Francisco victory. But Miami is 4-1 over the last five meetings. Most recently, two seasons ago, the Dolphins won at Levi's Stadium 43-17. Ryan Fitzpatrick, now retired, threw three touchdown passes that day for Miami, while Jimmy Garoppolo tossed two interceptions for the Niners.
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<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1655381">Miami at San Francisco Week 13 Betting Stats</a>
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NFL Betting Trends<br />
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Through Week 12, home teams are 96-77 SU and 90-81 ATS in the NFL this season. Through Week 12, favorites are 109-69 SU but just 77-98 ATS in the NFL this season.
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Totals Report<br />
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The Unders are 6-5 in Dolphins games this season, averaging 49 total points per game.
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The Unders are 8-3 in 49ers games this season which are averaging 38 points.
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Through Week 12, the Unders are 103-75 in the NFL this season.
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Dolphins at 49ers Prediction ATS 12/4/22

Miami ranks No. 3 in the League in total offense, although just 28th in rushing and 17th in total defense. San Francisco ranks No. 10 in offense and No. 1 in defense. And in match-ups like this, we love betting the team with the better defense. Also, the 49ers are out-rushing opponents by 44 YPG, while the Dolphins are getting out-rushed by 15 YPG. Also, we're thinking San Francisco might win the NFC while we still have some doubts about Miami. We're giving the points with the 49ers Sunday.

 

Free Pick: Take San Francisco -4
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