Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers Pick

Darin Zank
Date: September 22, 4:25 pm
Location: Dignity Health Sports Park
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Chargers -3
Total: 49

<p>
<b>Houston Texans (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Chargers (1-1 SU, 0-1-1 ATS) </b>
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One of the NFL's exciting young guns goes up against a seasoned vet when DeShaun Watson and his Houston Texans take on Philip Rivers and his Los Angeles Chargers Sunday afternoon out in suburban Los Angeles. The Texans are coming off a tight win last week, while the Chargers are coming off a tough loss. Who do we like here for our free NFL pick?
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NFL Betting Odds<br />
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<p>
Week 3's NFL betting odds opened the Chargers at -3.5 over Houston, with an over/under of right around 49. Early betting action then dropped the hook off that spread.
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Texans vs. Chargers Set-Up<br />
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<p>
Houston is 1-1 on the season, after holding off Jacksonville last week 13-12. The Texans led 3-0 early and 13-3 early in the fourth quarter, allowed the Jaguars to get within one point with 30 seconds to go but made a defensive stop on a two-point conversion attempt to secure the victory.
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Unfortunately for Houston's financial backers that late Jacksonville score cost them a push of the spread at -7.
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On the day the Texans only produced 263 yards of total offense against a tough Jags defense. But Houston ran the ball for 126 yards, led by 90 by newcomer Carlos Hyde, and the defense held Jacksonville to 281 yards.
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The Texans opened their season with a 30-28 loss at New Orleans. Houston led that game 7-0 early and 28-27 very late but lost it on a 58-yard field goal at the buzzer.
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The Texans ran the ball for 180 that day, although the defense gave up 512 yards of Saints offense.
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<p>
Los Angeles, meanwhile, is also 1-1 this season, after falling at Detroit last week 13-10. The Chargers led 7-0 early and 10-6 into the fourth quarter but fell behind on a Lions touchdown with seven minutes left. LA then squandered a chance at a game-winning field goal when Rivers threw a bad interception inside Detroit territory with just over a minute to go, on their way toward defeat.
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On the day Los Angeles out-gained the Lions 424-339, out-rushed Detroit 137-94 and held a 31/29 edge in time of possession. But the Chargers also had two touchdowns negated by a penalty, lost a fumble at the Detroit 1-yard line, missed two field goals and threw that bad pick.
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Los Angeles has been operating with its back-up kicker, but it's hoped starter Michael Badgley will be back for Sunday.
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The Chargers opened their season with a 30-24 overtime victory over Indianapolis. Los Angeles led that game 24-9 in the third quarter, allowed the Colts to rally and force OT, then won it by driving the opening possession of extra time 75 yards to a touchdown.
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These two teams last met back in 2016, a 21-13 Chargers victory in Houston. Brock Osweiler quarterbacked the Texans that day and threw three interceptions.
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NFL Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
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Houston is 15-9 SU, 13-8-3 ATS with Watson as the starter at quarterback.
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Home teams are just 16-16-1 SU, 11-21-1 ATS so far this NFL season.
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Underdogs are 12-20-1 SU and 19-13-1 ATS so far this NFL season.
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Totals Report<br />
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<ul>
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Totals are split 1-1 in Texans games this season, which have averaged 42 total points.
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Totals are split 1-1 in Chargers games this season, which have averaged 39 points.
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Unders played 13-3 in the NFL last week. So on the season, unders are 21-12.
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<p><section></p>
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1109398">Houston at San Diego NFL Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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Texans at Chargers Prediction 09/22/2019

The NFL is a very volatile environment; what's up one week is often down the next, and vice-versa. Houston is coming off a close win, while San Diego – err, Los Angeles – is coming off a tough loss. But this game looks like a good candidate to fall into our “reversal of fortune” theory. We're betting the Chargers here for our free NFL pick.

Free Pick: Take the Chargers -3
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