Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants Week 13 Pick

Darin Zank
Date: December 1, 1:00 pm
Location: MetLife Stadium
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Packers -6.5
Total: 45

<p>
The Packers hope to bounce back from a dismal performance last week in San Francisco when they visit New Jersey to take on the Giants Sunday afternoon. Green Bay's favored by a touchdown for this one, but New York's actually kept several of its recent losses close. How are we playing this game for our free NFL pick?
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<h2>
NFL Betting Odds<br />
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<p>
Week 13's NFL betting odds opened Green Bay as a six-point favorite for this game, with an over/under of right around 46. Early betting action then bumped the Packers to -6.5 and dipped that total to 45.
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<h2>
Packers vs. Giants Set-Up<br />
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<p>
Green Bay is coming off a pathetic performance last Sunday night at San Francisco, a 37-8 shellacking at the hands of the 49ers. The Packers fell behind 7-0 less than two minutes into the game, trailed 23-0 at the half, pulled to within 23-8 in the third quarter, but faded from there and whiffed ATS as three-point dogs.
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<p>
On the night Green Bay got out-gained by San Francisco 339-198, and most of the yardage the Packers produced came in catch-up mode. Green Bay also allowed five sacks, converted just 1/15 on 3rd downs, and gave up several big plays on defense.
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<p>
Two weeks ago, the Packers beat Carolina 24-16, but just before that, they lost at San Diego 26-11. Green Bay's also been out-gained each of its last three games.
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<p>
Still, at 8-3 overall, the Packers are tied with Minnesota for the lead in the NFC North, and they own the head-to-head tiebreaker on the Vikings.
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<p>
New York, meanwhile, lugs a seven-game losing streak into Sunday, after falling at Chicago last week 19-14. The Giants actually led the Bears 7-3 at the half, fell behind 19-7, got back within one score with four minutes to go but came up empty from there.
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<p>
New York did, however, pick up a back-door cover as a six-point dog.
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<p>
On the day the Giants got out-gained 335-244. So New York's been out-gained each of its last four games, and six of its previous seven.
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However, four of the Giants' last five losses have come by seven points or less.
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At 2-9 overall, the G-Men are relegated to playing out the rest of this season for pride and the hope of a brighter future.
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<p>
These teams last met in the wild-card round of the playoffs three seasons, a 38-13 Green Bay victory. But that was a quarterback and two coaches ago for New York and a coach ago for the Packers.
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<h2>
NFL Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
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Green Bay is 3-2 both SU and ATS on the road this season.
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New York is just 1-4 both SU and ATS at home this season.
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Through the first 12 weeks of this NFL betting season, home dogs are 18-38 SU, 26-29 ATS.
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</ul>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Unders are 6-5 in Packers games this season, which are averaging 46 total points.
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Overs are 6-5 in Giants games this season, which are averaging 48 points.
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Through the first 12 weeks of this NFL betting season, unders are 89-83.
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</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1110108">Packers at Giants NFL Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Packers at Giants Prediction 12/1/19

Green Bay is supposedly the better team in this match-up, but the Packers are inconsistent in the running game, and their defense stinks. New York, meanwhile, has little to play for, but if it can just put up 21-24 points, it might just cover. And we think that number is very possible. It's not easy backing a team that's lost seven games in a row, but we'll take the Giants and the points here.

Free Pick: Take the Giants +6.5
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