Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Odds & Free Pick

Darin Zank
Date: December 5, 8:20 pm

Betting Odds

Point Spread: DEN +8.5KC -8.5
Total: 46.5

<p>The Denver Broncos get a chance to prove they're not just playoff pretenders when they battle the two-time defending AFC champion Chiefs in an AFC West rivalry match Sunday night at Arrowhead. Denver lost four games in a row back in October but is 3-1 its last four times out, climbing above .500 and into the AFC playoff picture. Kansas City, meanwhile, was also struggling a while back but now owns a four-game winning streak. </p>
<p>The Chiefs are favored by almost double-digits for this one; how are we playing this game with our free NFL betting pick?
</p>
<h2>NFL Betting Lines </h2>
<p>The Week 13 NFL betting odds opened Kansas City as a 10-point favorite for this game, with an over/under of right around 49. Early betting action then dipped that spread to 9.5 and dropped that total to 47.</p>
<h2>Broncos Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Denver is 3-1 both SU and ATS its last four times out after beating the Chargers at home last week 28-13. The Broncos, playing as home dogs getting 2.5 points, scored the first two touchdowns of the game, led 14-7 at the half, then scored the first 14 points of the second half and hung on from there for the victory.</p>
<p>Denver got out-gained by the Chargers 357-302 but out-rushed Los Angeles 147-72 and won the turnover battle 2-1, creating a +3 points differential.</p>
<p>The Broncos have actually been out-gained by seven of their last eight opponents, although they've also out-rushed two of their last three foes.</p>
<p>At 6-5 overall, Denver is part of a three-way tie for second place in the AFC West with the Chargers and Raiders, just one game back of the first-place Chiefs. The Broncos also trail the Chargers by a tie-breaker in the battle for the No. 7 spot in the AFC playoff standings.</p>
<h2>Chiefs Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Kansas City, meanwhile, rides a four-game winning streak into Sunday night after beating Dallas two weeks ago 19-9. The Chiefs then enjoyed last week off.</p>
<p>KC hit the board on its first three possessions of the game against the Cowboys and led 16-3 at the half. The Chiefs then never let Dallas get any closer than 10 points from there on their way toward the victory and the cover at -2.5.</p>
<p>Kansas City out-gained the banged-up Cowboys 370-276 and won the ground battle 126-82.</p>
<p>The Chiefs have now out-gained and out-rushed three of their last four opponents.</p>
<p>At 7-4, Kansas City leads the AFC West by one game over the three other teams in that division, who are all 6-5. KC also only trails Baltimore by one game (and two other teams) in the battle for the No. 1 spot in the AFC playoff standings.
</p>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1411301">Denver at Kansas City Week 13 Betting Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>
<h2>Broncos-Chiefs Recent History</h2>
<p>Kansas City owns an 11-game winning streak over Denver, going 9-2 ATS along the way. Last year the Chiefs swept two games from the Broncos by scores of 43-16 and 22-16. KC used a pick-6 and a kick-off return for a touchdown to build a big lead in that first meeting, then rallied in the second half to win that second meeting. </p>
<h2>NFL Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>Home teams are 86-91 SU, 75-102 ATS in the NFL this season.</li>
<li>Favorites are 107-72 SU, 79-100 ATS in the NFL this season.</li>
</ul>
<p>Totals Report</p>
<p>The Under is 9-2 in Broncos games this season, which are averaging 39 total points.</p>
<p>The Under is 6-5 in Chiefs games this season, which are averaging 48 points.</p>
<p>The Unders is 101-79 in the NFL this season.</p>
<p>The Under is 4-1-1 over the last six meetings between these two teams.</p>

Broncos at Chiefs Predictions 12/5/21

Kansas City is winning games recently because it’s held its last four opponents to a total of 47 points. Meanwhile, we consider Denver a good candidate for a letdown this week, following that big divisional win at home last week. So while the line on this game is probably inflated by a couple of points we still like the Chiefs.

Free Pick: Take Kansas City -9.5
Get $60 Free Picks