Pittsburgh at Cincinnati Spread Pick for Week 12

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati Spread Pick for Week 12

Statinator
Date: November 26, 10:00 pm
Location: Paul Brown Stadium
TV: NBC

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Pittsburgh -2
Moneyline: Pittsburg -135 /Bengals+115
Total: 36.5

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Steelers
In their latest game, the Steelers suffered a close 10-13 loss to Cleveland. They were 2.5-point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The game's total, set at 34, went under.

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Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals lost 20-34 to Baltimore in their most recent match. As 4-point underdogs, they did not cover the spread. The total was set at 46.5 and went over.

Power Stats

Yards Per Point

Pittsburgh: Offense - 16.87, Defense - 18.85
Cincinnati: Offense - 14.79, Defense - 17.07
Advantage: Cincinnati is more efficient offensively, but Pittsburgh’s defense is stronger.

Yards Per Pass

Pittsburgh: Offense - 9.04, Defense - 11.26
Cincinnati: Offense - 8.64, Defense - 12.01
Advantage: Pittsburgh has a more efficient passing game, both offensively and defensively.

Yards Per Rush

Pittsburgh: Offense - 4.3, Defense - 4.4
Cincinnati: Offense - 3.87, Defense - 5.05
Advantage: Pittsburgh shows a better balance in rushing, especially defensively.

Key Offensive and Defensive Stats

Pittsburgh’s offense averages 16.60 points per game with 170 passing yards and 110.10 rushing yards. Defensively, they allow 19.50 points per game. Cincinnati’s offense is more potent, averaging 20.20 points with 217.80 passing yards and 80.90 rushing yards. However, their defense concedes more, allowing 22.60 points per game.

Betting Odds Trends

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Strong ATS record, going 10-4 in their last 14 games.
  • Solid SU performance, winning 10 of their last 14 games.
  • Tendency for games to go under, with 7 of their last 8 games going under the total.
  • Good road performance, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Mixed ATS performance, 4-2 in their last 6 games.
  • Strong SU record in recent games, winning 15 of their last 21.
  • Varied performance in totals, with the total going over in 4 of their last 6 games.
  • Home performance is shaky, 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Five reasons to bet Pittsburgh

Inexperience of Cincinnati’s Backup QB: With Joe Burrow out, Jake Browning will make his first career start. Despite a decent performance in relief last week, starting a game, especially against a competitive team like Pittsburgh, is a different challenge. His inexperience could be a key factor.

Absence of Cincinnati's Starting CB: The Bengals will also be missing their starting cornerback, Cam Taylor-Britt. This could weaken their defense against Pittsburgh's passing game, potentially allowing the Steelers to exploit this gap.

Pittsburgh’s Defensive Advantage: The Steelers have shown defensive strength, particularly in terms of yards allowed per pass and rush, which could be crucial in limiting Cincinnati’s scoring opportunities.

Strong Pittsburgh Performance on the Road: The Steelers have a good record ATS on the road, going 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. This trend suggests their ability to perform well in away games, increasing the likelihood of covering the spread.

Pittsburgh at Bengals Free Pick ATS

Cincinnati's Struggles in Divisional Games: The Bengals have not fared well within the division, both SU and ATS, which could continue against a division rival like Pittsburgh. Their performance against conference opponents suggests potential vulnerabilities that Pittsburgh could exploit.

Free Pick: Take Pittsburgh -2
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