Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Total Pick

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Total Pick

Statinator
Date: September 9, 11:00 am

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Wake Forest -10
Moneyline: Wake Forest -425, Vanderbilt +325
Total: 57.5

Vanderbilt hits the road to face Wake Forest in their third game of the season. Bet365 has Wake Forest as a -10 point favorite, with a total line set at 57.5.


Yards Per Point Analysis

  • Vanderbilt Offense: 9.24 YPP | Defense: 16.32 YPP | Differential: -7.07
  • Wake Forest Offense: 11.54 YPP | Defense: 14.76 YPP | Differential: -3.22

Insights:

Vanderbilt requires fewer yards to score, indicating a more efficient offense. Both teams have negative differentials, which is good. However, Vanderbilt's is more favorable.


Yards Per Pass & Yards Per Rush

  • Vanderbilt Yards/Pass: 13.22 (Offense) vs. 10.18 (Defense)
  • Wake Forest Yards/Pass: 15.74 (Offense) vs. 5.9 (Defense)
  • Vanderbilt Yards/Rush: 4.23 (Offense) vs. 3.02 (Defense)
  • Wake Forest Yards/Rush: 2.8 (Offense) vs. 3.66 (Defense)

Insights:

Wake Forest has a significant edge in yards per pass, especially on defense. Vanderbilt has the upper hand in the rushing game, both offensively and defensively.


Team Records & ATS Stats

  • Vanderbilt: 2-0 overall, 0-2 ATS
  • Wake Forest: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS
  • Vanderbilt ATS Home: 0-2, ATS Away: 0-0
  • Wake Forest ATS Home: 0-1, ATS Away: 0-0

Insights:

Vanderbilt has been winning but not covering the spread. Wake Forest has a limited sample but has failed to cover in their sole home game.


Betting Odds Trends

  • Wake Forest:
    • 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    • 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
  • Vanderbilt:
    • 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    • 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Insights:

Wake Forest has been struggling against the spread lately. Vanderbilt has a better SU record in recent games but is risky ATS.


Team's Last 5 Games

  • Vanderbilt: W, W, L, W, W (this season and last)
  • Wake Forest: W, W, L, W, L (this season and last)

Insights:

Both teams have winning records in their last five games, but Vanderbilt has momentum with two straight wins this season.


Free College Football Pick

Given the stats and trends, Vanderbilt could potentially cover the spread, especially with their efficient offense. The total could go either way, but Wake Forest's strong defensive stats in yards per pass suggest a lower-scoring game.

Free Pick: Take the Under 57.5
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