Penn State Nittany Lions at Maryland Terrapins Free Pick

Penn State Nittany Lions at Maryland Terrapins Free Pick

Cliff Knox
Date: November 4, 3:30 pm
Location: Capital One Arena
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Penn -9
Moneyline: PSU -400 / UMD +310
Total: 50

Penn State aims to maintain its standing in the Big 10 East, while Maryland seeks to secure bowl eligibility in this Saturday afternoon clash at College Park. The Nittany Lions have a dominating all-time series lead of 42-3-1 over the Terrapins and are nearly double-digit favorites to continue their dominance.

NCAAF Betting Odds

The opening betting line for this Week 10 college football matchup set Penn State as a 10-point favorite over Maryland, with an initial over/under around 50. However, early betting action has since adjusted the spread to 9.5.

Penn State-Maryland Betting Preview

Last Saturday, Penn State managed a 33-24 victory over Indiana, narrowly bouncing back from their loss to Ohio State. Despite being heavy 31-point favorites, the Nittany Lions found themselves trailing in the second quarter and didn’t secure their lead until the final minutes. While they outplayed Indiana in terms of yardage, two significant plays accounted for a large chunk of the Hoosiers' total yards.

Starting the season with a 6-0 record, Penn State's most challenging opponent during that run was arguably West Virginia. Their performance dipped in the 20-12 loss to the Buckeyes, where they could only manage one late touchdown. With a 4-1 record in Big Ten play, the Nittany Lions are just a game behind Michigan and Ohio State in the East Division. A win over the Wolverines at Happy Valley next week, coupled with other favorable results, could put Penn State in contention for the division title.

On the other side, Maryland is on a three-game losing streak after a 33-27 defeat to Northwestern. The Terrapins failed to cover the two-touchdown spread and turned over the ball twice, contributing to their loss. Despite a strong 5-0 start to the season and a promising lead against Ohio State, Maryland has struggled in recent weeks. The team needs just one win from their remaining four games to become bowl-eligible, but it won’t be an easy task.

Penn State-Maryland Recent History

Over the last eight meetings, Penn State has dominated Maryland with a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS record, winning six of those matchups by double digits. In last year's encounter, the Nittany Lions shut out the Terrapins 30-0, easily covering the -11 spread.

College Football Betting Trends

  • Penn State is 6-0 ATS in its last six games when favored on the road.
  • The over/under has resulted in overs in 5 of Penn State’s 8 games this season, averaging 50 points.
  • For Maryland, the total has split 4-4 in their games, averaging 53 points.
  • The unders have dominated the last five meetings between these two teams.

Nittany Lions vs Terrapins NCAAF Pick

Considering Penn State’s stronger running game, superior defense, and recent betting trends, they have the edge in this matchup. After a less-than-stellar performance last week, we anticipate a more focused effort from the Nittany Lions. The away game also provides a more favorable spread. Our pick is Penn State, minus the points.

Free Pick: Take Penn -9
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