Nebraska vs. Illinois: Expert Betting Analysis & Pick for Week 6

Nebraska vs. Illinois: Expert Betting Analysis & Pick for Week 6

Darin Zank
Date: October 6, 8:00 pm
Location: Memorial Stadium
TV: FS1

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Neb +3.5/Ill -3.5
Moneyline: Neb +145/Ill -175
Total: 43

Big 10 West rivals in desperate need of a win meet when Illinois hosts Nebraska Friday night in Champaign.

Both teams got kicked last week and both teams are 0-2 in conference play. But we found a couple of good leans to come up with a free college football betting pick.

NCAAF Betting Odds

The Week 6 college football betting market opened Illinois at -3.5, with an over/under of right around 44. Early betting action dipped that total to 43.

Nebraska-Illinois Betting Preview

The Cornhuskers are trying to bounce back this week after falling badly at home to Michigan last week, 45-7. Nebraska allowed the Wolverines to hit paydirt on their first three possessions of the game, trailed 28-0 at the half, and mustered no challenge from there, whiffing ATS as a 17-point home dog.

The 'Huskers got out-gained by Michigan 436-305, and 74 of Nebraska's yards came on one meaningless play near the end of the game.

The Cornhuskers opened this season by blowing a game at Minnesota 13-10. They then lost to Colorado 36-14, although that game was 13-7 midway through the third quarter. Nebraska then beat Northern Illinois 35-11 and Louisiana Tech 28-14.

The 'Huskers returned 15 starters for their first season under Coach Rhule, so we actually expected a better showing than what we've seen so far.

The Illini are also trying to bounce back after losing at Purdue last week, 44-19. Illinois actually led the Boilermakers 10-6 well into the second quarter and only trailed 16-13 at the half. But the Illini then allowed touchdowns on three of Purdue's first four drives of the second half, and that was about it.

Illinois converted just 2/13 on 3rd downs, gave up 189 yards on the ground, and committed 83 yards' worth of penalties.

The Illini opened this season with a 30-28 win over Toledo, then lost games to Kansas and Penn State, then had to come from behind to beat Florida Atlantic 23-17.

Illinois only returned 12 starters this season but still, that performance against Purdue puzzles us.

Nebraska-Illinois Recent History

The Illini own a three-game winning streak against the Cornhuskers, going 3-0 ATS in the process. Last year, Illinois trailed at Lincoln 9-6 in the second quarter, then scored the final 20 points of the game for the win and the cover at -7.5.

College Football Betting Trends

Illinois is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games as a home favorite.

Totals Report

The unders are 3-2 in 'Huskers games this season.

The totals are split 2-2-1 in Illini games.

The overs are 3-1-1 over the last five meetings between these teams.

Nebraska at Illinois Prediction ATS

Despite its performance last week, we give Nebraska the edges in the running games and on defense. And that's usually enough for us. Also, getting kicked by Michigan is better than getting kicked by Purdue. We like the 'Huskers plus the points for Friday night.

Free Pick: Take Nebraska +3.5
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