The spotlight is on the Navy Midshipmen and the Memphis Tigers as they square off at the Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on September 14, 2023, at 7:30 PM. Based on the odds from Bet365, the moneylines are 450 for the Midshipmen and -600 for the Tigers, while the spread stands at Navy getting +14.5. The total points for the duel are set at 47, with equal odds of -110 for both over and under. With this in mind, let us explore the reasons behind considering betting on the "Under".

Navy Midshipmen Recent Games: The Midshipmen kicked off their season with a heavy loss to ND, with a scoreline reading 3-42, unable to cover the spread as they played away. However, they bounced back in their next home game against WAG, securing a 24-0 victory. Despite the win, they again failed to cover the spread. Their offensive production has been lackluster, tallying a total of only 27 points across the first two games.

Memphis Tigers Recent Games: The Tigers have had a roaring start to their season, overpowering their opponents in both encounters. They triumphed over COOK with a resounding 56-14 victory in their opening home game but failed to cover the spread. Following up, they clinched a comfortable 37-3 win against ARKST in an away fixture, successfully covering the spread this time. The Tigers have exhibited a strong offensive front, accumulating a total of 93 points in their first two games.

Top 5 Reasons to Bet on the "Under"

1. Navy's Offensive Struggles: Navy has had a slow start this season, averaging just 13.5 points per game. Their offensive struggles could limit the overall score.
2. Memphis’s Dominant Defense: Memphis has showcased a rock-solid defense, conceding a meager 8.5 points on average per game. Their defense might keep Navy’s score at bay, contributing to a lower total score.
3. Recent Under Trend: Looking at the recent form of both teams, the total has gone "Under" in 4 of Navy's last six games and in five of Memphis's last six games, showing a prevailing trend of lower-scoring games.
4. Head-to-Head Under Trend: In their head-to-head encounters, 4 of the last six games have gone "Under." This historical trend supports the potential of a lower total score.
5. Conservative Offense from Navy: Navy has been conservative in their offensive approach, focusing more on rushing, which generally consumes more time, potentially leading to a game with fewer scores.