Iowa Hawkeyes vs Iowa State Buckeyes Free Pick
Date:
September 9, 3:30 pm
Location:
Jack Trice Stadium
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Iowa -4
Total:
36
Team Overview & Recent Performance
Iowa Hawkeyes
- Overall Record: 1-0
- Against The Spread (ATS) Record: 0-1
- Average Points Scored: 24.00
- Average Points Allowed: 14.00
- Point Differential: +10.00
Iowa State Cyclones
- Overall Record: 1-0
- ATS Record: 1-0
- Average Points Scored: 30.00
- Average Points Allowed: 9.00
- Point Differential: +21.00
Both teams are coming off a win, but their ATS performance was different; Iowa couldn't cover the spread, while Iowa State did.
Power Stats and Key Metrics
Yards Per Point
- Iowa: Offense 11.83, Defense 23.5, Differential -11.67 (Good)
- Iowa State: Offense 8.33, Defense 31, Differential -22.67 (Better)
Yards Per Pass
- Iowa: Offense 10.33, Defense 6.34, Differential 3.99
- Iowa State: Offense 8.29, Defense 8.65, Differential -0.36
Yards Per Rush
- Iowa: Offense 2.44, Defense 4.83, Differential -2.39
- Iowa State: Offense 4.96, Defense 2.86, Differential 2.1
Iowa State appears to have a more balanced attack, particularly in the rushing game, whereas Iowa leans more on its passing game.
In-depth Matchup Stats
Offensive Metrics
Iowa Hawkeyes
- Points/Game: 24.0 (#47)
- Yards/Game: 284.0 (#76)
- Points/Play: 0.343 (#57)
- Yards/Play: 4.1 (#83)
- Rush Play %: 51.43% (#45)
- Yards/Rush: 2.4 (#77)
Iowa State Cyclones
- Opp Points/Game: 14.0 (#21)
- Opp Yards/Game: 329.0 (#39)
- Opp Points/Play: 0.192 (#22)
- Opp Yards/Play: 4.5 (#34)
Iowa's stats suggest that they're more of a balanced team, while Iowa State leans heavily on its defense.
Betting Odds & Trends
Iowa Hawkeyes
- Iowa has a strong ATS record in its last seven games (5-2).
- The team has been performing well overall, with a 6-1 SU record in its last seven outings.
- The under has been the trend in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games.
Iowa State Cyclones
- The Cyclones have a less impressive ATS record in their last 10 games (3-6-1).
- Iowa State has lost more games than it has won recently, with a 2-8 SU record in its last 10 games.
- The under has also been a strong trend for Iowa State, appearing in 8 of their last 9 games.
Iowa at Iowa State Free Pick
While Iowa comes into this game with a reputation for a strong defense, their offensive efficiency leaves something to be desired. Iowa State, despite not having a defense as strong as Iowa's, seems to be more efficient in converting yards to points.
Given the key stats and recent trends, the under seems to be a good bet as both teams have been leaning in that direction. As for the spread, the game could be closer than the 4-point line suggests, especially given Iowa State's efficiency in converting yards to points and their home-field advantage.
Free Pick:
Take the Under 36
