Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Odds & Picks

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Odds & Picks

Joe
Date: April 1, 9:00 pm
Location: Ball Arena
TV: BSN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: MIN +3.5/DEN -3.5
Total: 236.5

<p>The Denver Nuggets host the Minnesota Timberwolves in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the Ball Arena. The host Nuggets are a small -2.5 favorite with a total line on the rise to 236.5. </p>
<h2>Probable Starting Lineups</h2>
<p><b>Minnesota Timberwolves</b> PG Patrick Beverley, SG D'Angelo Russell, SF Anthony Edwards, PF Jarred Vanderbilt, C Karl-Anthony Towns</br><br />
<b>Denver Nuggets</b> PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic</p>
<h2>Key Injuries</h2>
<p><b> Minnesota Timberwolves </b><br />
Malik Beasley: Ankle (OUT)<br />
McKinley Wright IV: Elbow (OUT)<br />
Jaden McDaniels: Ankle (OUT)</p>
<p><b> Denver Nuggets </b><br />
JaMychal Green: Wrist (QUESTIONABLE)<br />
Michael Porter Jr.: Back (OUT)<br />
Vlatko Cancar: Foot (OUT)<br />
Zeke Nnaji: Knee (OUT)</p>
<h2>Recent Form</h2>
<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves come into this game with an overall record of 43-34, placing them 7th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, Minnesota has struggled in their 39 road contests, sitting at 18-21. Over the Timberwolves' last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, Minnesota's offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 111.0 points per game. Combined, the Timberwolves' last five opponents are giving up 105.0 points per contest. A key reason for Minnesota's recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 118.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 112.4. In the Minnesota Timberwolves' most recent game, the team fell to Toronto by a score of 125-102.</p>
<p>The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 46-31, placing them 5th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 at home, holding a record of 22-15. The Nuggets have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 122.0 points per game, 10.0 points more than their season average of 112.0. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. Even though the Nuggets have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 118.0 points per game, up from Denver's usual rate of 109.5. In the Denver Nuggets' most recent game, Denver took down Indiana by a score of 125-118.</p>
<h2>Individual Player Analysis</h2>
<p>As Minnesota travels to take on the Denver Nuggets, the Timberwolves' leading scorer is Karl-Anthony Towns. Through 70 games, he is averaging 24.4 points per game on 53% shooting from the field. As Towns gets set to take on the Nuggets, he could be in line for a big game as Denver is allowing their opponent's top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.75% of their games. This figure places them 20nd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring, averaging 26 points across his 69 games. Throughout the season, Jokic has outscored his season average in 43.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Jokic will need to do so against a Timberwolves defense that has been tough on their opponent's top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 43.75%. This figure is good for a rank of 8th in the league.</p>
<h2>Matchup Analysis</h2>
<p>Heading into this matchup, the Minnesota Timberwolves are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 18 of Minnesota's 37 games, leading to a winning percentage of 78%. So far, the Denver Nuggets have played 40 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 40 times, by an average margin of -14.0 points.</p>
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<span style="font-size:14px;"><span style="color:#008000;"><span style="background-color:#ffffff;">Get more details:</span></span> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nba/matchup/1465111">Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets 4/1/22 Betting Matchup Stats</a></span>
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<h2>The Historicals</h2>
<p>Heading into today's matchup, the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Minnesota picked up a 130-115 win.</p>
<h2>How the Public is Betting the Timberwolves vs Nuggets</h2>
<p>67% are betting the Nuggets against the spread.<br></p>
<p>52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 234.5</p>
<h2>Betting Trends Worth Noting</h2>
<ul>
<li>Timberwolves are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.</li>
<li>Timberwolves are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.</li>
<li>Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.</li>
<li>Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.</li>
</ul>

Timberwolves at Nuggets Prediction ATS 4/1/22

Tonight's matchup between the Nuggets and Timberwolves features the Western Conferences 6th and 7th seeded teams, respectively. Heading into the game, Denver holds a comfortable 3 game lead over Minnesota. However, a Timberwolves win would make things interesting down the stretch, as each team will have 4 remaining regular-season games. The Nuggets enter the matchup as 4 point favorites and are riding a 2 game win streak. Look for Denver's superior offensive efficiency to come through in a win that covers the spread vs the Wolves.

Free Pick: Take Denver -3.5
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