2023 Yellawood 500 Preview and Picks

2023 Yellawood 500 Preview and Picks

Jay Horne
Date: October 1, 2:00 pm
Location: Talladega Superspeedway
TV: NBC

Betting Odds

Introduction

NASCAR’s Cup Series heads to the unpredictable Talladega Superspeedway for the Yellawood 500. William Byron secured a win at Texas Motor Speedway last week, making him the only playoff driver not fretting over points. But for the rest of the field, Talladega's superspeedway racing poses challenges and profit opportunities.

Why Superspeedway Racing is Unique for Bettors

Superspeedway racing offers bettors an intriguing landscape. The inherent unpredictability and frequent crashes make for high volatility. Simply surviving 500 miles at Talladega is an accomplishment. This volatility translates to better betting odds across the board. Gamblers can select more drivers than usual, managing risk while maintaining good return on investment (ROI). If you're seeking a big payday, Talladega historically delivers with the potential for significant payouts.

Talladega Superspeedway: Fast Facts

  • Brad Keselowski leads all active drivers with 6 career wins at Talladega.
  • Joey Logano (3), Ryan Blaney (2), Kyle Busch (2), Chase Elliott (2), Denny Hamlin (2), Ross Chastain, Bubba Wallace, Kevin Harvick, Ricky Stenhouse Jr, and Aric Almirola are all former winners at Talladega.
  • Ryan Blaney has scored runner-up finishes in each of his last two starts at Talladega.
  • Chase Elliott has the best average finishing position (14.1) among active drivers.
  • Todd Gilliland has finished 7th and 10th in the last two races at Talladega.
  • Erik Jones has finished 9th or better in each of the last 4 races at Talladega.
  • Ross Chastain posted finishes of 1st and 4th in each of the Talladega races last season.
  • Chevrolet drivers have won each of the last 3 races at Talladega.
  • There have been 8 cautions or less in each of the last 5 races at Talladega.

Picks and Betting Strategy

Due to the unpredictability of superspeedway races, it's optimal to seek selections with the best betting value rather than favoring overall favorites. However, if you're considering favorites, Ryan Blaney and Brad Keselowski stand out. Both have impressive Talladega stats, and Ford teams have shown strong performance at superspeedways this year.

Jay's Picks

For those looking for long shots with substantial payouts, Erik Jones and Michael McDowell are worth considering. While their superspeedway wins occurred at Daytona, both are considered underdogs and offer excellent value for outright victory bets. As superspeedway races are volatile, it's best to avoid head-to-head match-ups.

Free Pick: Ryan Blaney +1200 & Erik Jones +3000
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