San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves Odds & Pick 4/6/23

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves Odds & Pick 4/6/23

Darin Zank
Date: April 6, 7:20 pm
Location: Truist Park

Betting Odds

Moneyline: SD +145/Atl -165
Total: 8

<p>Two teams that may well meet in October hook up when the Braves and Padres begin a four-game series in Cobb County Thursday night.</p>
<p>Young gun Spencer Strider hits the hill for the home team here against former Cy Young Award winner Blake Snell for San Diego.</p>
<p>How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Thursday's baseball betting lines opened Atlanta and Strider at around -150 over San Diego and Snell, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then bumped the Braves 15 cents to -165.</p>
<h2>Padres-Braves MLB Betting Preview </h2>
<p>San Diego just split two games at home with Arizona earlier this week, blowing a 5-1 lead and losing Tuesday's series finale 8-6. The Padres then had Wednesday off to travel.</p>
<p>San Diego opened this season last weekend by splitting four games with Colorado.</p>
<p>Last year the Padres won 89 games and reached the National League championship series. This season they're playing against a "total wins" over/under of 94.</p>
<p>Atlanta, meanwhile, just swept three games from the Cardinals in St. Louis, taking that series finale Wednesday 5-2. The Braves opened their season last weekend by taking two of three games at Washington.</p>
<p>Last year Atlanta won 101 games before losing to Philadelphia in a divisional-round playoff series. This season the Braves are playing against a wins O/U of 95.5.</p>
<p>San Diego took the season series from Atlanta last year four games to three.</p>
<h2>Thursday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p>Strider is making his second start of this season Thursday. Last Saturday, he held Washington scoreless on three hits through six innings, with three walks against nine strikeouts, in a 7-1 Atlanta victory.</p>
<p>Last year Strider hit 10/20 on quality starts as the Braves played 13-7 for him.</p>
<p>Over two appearances against San Diego last year, Strider allowed two runs on two hits and three walks through 4 2/3 innings.</p>
<p>Lefty Snell is also making his second start of this season. Last Thursday against Colorado, he allowed three runs on six hits and one walk, with nine K's, through 4 1/3 innings of a 7-2 Padres loss.</p>
<p>Last year Snell hit 11/24 on quality starts as San Diego played 10-14 with him.</p>
<p>This will be Snell's first start against the Braves since 2018, which is already a long time ago.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks</h2>
<p>San Diego batted .239 against right-handed pitching last season, with a .317 team OBP and a .380 team slugging percentage.</p>
<p>Atlanta slashed .265/.338/.444 against left-handed pitching last season. Numbers like those led us to rank this line-up among the top two or three in Baseball in this split.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Braves bullpen posted a 3.03 ERA last season, along with a 1.14 WHIP and a 3.21 K/BB ratio. Numbers like those led us to rank this unit among the top four bullpens in Baseball.</p>
<p>The Padres pen put up a 3.83 ERA last year, a 1.21 WHIP, and a 2.94 K/BB ratio.</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Trends</h2>
<p>San Diego played 58-50 against right-handed starters last season.</p>
<p>Atlanta played 37-17 against left-handed starters last season.</p>
<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<p>The Overs are 4-2 in Padres games this season.</p>
<p>The Unders are 4-2 in Braves games this season.</p>
<p>The Unders played 41-38 at Truist Park last season.</p>
<p>The Overs played 4-3 in Padres-Braves games last season.</p>

Padres at Braves Betting Prediction 4/6/23

We give Strider a short edge in the pitching match-up. Atlanta also owns edges in the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Our only regret here is we didn't get our bet in before the line got goosed. We're betting on the Braves Thursday night.

 

Free Pick: Take Atlanta -165
Get $60 Free Picks