New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Game 3 Pick

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Game 3 Pick

Darin Zank
Date: October 7, 8:40 pm
Location: Target Field
TV: FS1

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Yankees -145/Twins +135
Total: 9

<p>
The Yankees take a 2-0 lead into Game 3 of this American League divisional-round playoff series with the Twins Monday night in Minneapolis. New York is adding to Minnesota's playoff misery, which involves a 15-game postseason losing skid. How are we playing this game with our free MLB pick?
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<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
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<p>
MLB betting odds for this Game 3 opened New York at around -140 over Minnesota, with an over/under of nine runs. Early betting action then edged that line up to -145.
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<p>
The Yanks could also be found getting around +110, giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.
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<h2>
Yankees vs. Twins Set-Up<br />
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<p>
New York won the opener of this series last Friday 10-4, then took Game 2 Saturday 8-2. The Yanks won at -185 favorites Friday, then at -175 Saturday.
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<p>
Also, both those games played over their totals.
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Minnesota has now lost 15 consecutive playoff games, a dubious record that extends back to 2004.
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<p>
The Yankees took the regular-season series from the Twins four games to two.
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<h2>
Game 3 Starting Arms<br />
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<p>
Odorizzi, by our stringent standards, is only 9/30 on quality starts this year and only one for his last four. However, a short leash plays a part in those numbers. Nine times this season, Odorizzi pitched within three outs or less of a QS but got pulled. Last time out, 13 days ago, Odorizzi held Detroit to one run and two hits through six innings of a 4-2 Minnesota victory. And over his last three starts, he allowed just five runs and 13 hits through 17 innings, with 26 strikeouts.
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<p>
On the season, the Twins are 21-9 with Odorizzi, 4-1 over his last five starts.
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In two starts this season against New York Odorizzi gave up nine runs and 12 hits through 10 innings. Minnesota split those two games.
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<p>
Severino is 0/3 on quality starts this season, which for him just began three weeks ago, after rehabbing from a shoulder injury. Nine days ago, he allowed two runs on one hit and four walks through three innings of a 9-4 Yankees loss to Texas. But over his three recent starts, he allowed just those two runs and six hits through 12 innings, with 15 whiffs.
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<p>
New York is 2-1 with Severino this year.
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In his most recent start against the Twins, back in September of last season, Severino allowed just one run through 5 2/3 innings of a 3-1 Yankees defeat.
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<h2>
Game 3 Batting Splits<br />
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<p>
New York batted .265/.336/.484 against RH pitching this season.
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Minnesota batted .264/.333/.484 against right-handed pitching this season.
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Both these lineups rank among the top half-dozen in Baseball in this split.
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These two teams both broke the previous ML record for home runs in a season; the Twins hit 307, the Yankees 306.
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<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Yankees pen put up a 4.08 ERA this season and a 1.32 WHIP while allowing a .729 OPS.
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The Twins bullpen posted a 4.17 ERA this season and a 1.32 WHIP while allowing a .740 OPS.
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<h2>
MLB Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
New York played 46-35 on the road this season.
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New York played 70-41 against right-handed starters this season.
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Minnesota played 46-35 at home this season.
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Minnesota played 79-44 against RH starters this season.
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<h2>
Totals Report<br />
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<ul>
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Overs played 84-72 in Yankees games this season.
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Overs played 79-75 in Twins games this season.
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Overs are 7-1 in Yankees-Twins games this season.
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Unders played 39-38 in games played at Target Field this season.
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Unders are 19-10 with Odorizzi this season.
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<p><section></p>
<ul>
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href=" https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1181976">Yankees at Twins MLB Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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</ul>
<p></section></p>

Yankees at Twins Prediction 10/7/2019

Both games in this series played over the totals, and the way these teams hit the ball, perhaps with a little help from the bullpens, we expect more of the same Monday. We're going with the over for our free MLB pick here.

Free Pick: Take the Over 9
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