Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Darin Zank
Date: August 13, 8:10 pm
Location: Miller Park
TV: FS Wisconsin

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Reds +105/Brewers -125
Total: 10.5

<p>
The Brewers are warming up as of late, while the Twins are cooling off, heading into the first game of a quick, two-game border battle series Tuesday night at Miller Park. Which way are we going here for our free MLB pick?
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
As of this writing, Tuesday's MLB betting odds were holding off on lining this game, perhaps waiting for more certain word on the status of Milwaukee's Christian Yelich.
</p>
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<h2>
Twins vs. Brewers Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Minnesota just dropped three of four games at home to rival Cleveland over the weekend, losing Sunday's series finale 7-3 in 10 innings. Just before that the Twins lost two of three to Atlanta. So Minnesota is 1-5 over its last six games.
</p>
<p>
At 71-47 overall the Twins, after leading the AL Central basically all season, now trail the first-place Indians by a half-game. But Minnesota also currently leads the AL wild-card race by two games over second-place Tampa Bay and by four games over third-place Oakland.
</p>
<p>
Milwaukee, meanwhile, just took two of three games at home from Texas over the weekend, missing the sweep by losing Sunday 1-0. Just before that the Brewers swept three games from Pittsburgh. So Milwaukee is 5-1 over its last six games.
</p>
<p>
The Brewers trail the Cubs by 2.5 games in the NL Central, and they're also a half-game back of St. Louis in the battle for the second National League wild-card spot.
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<p>
This series is the second meeting between these teams this season; back in May, they split two games up in Minneapolis.
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<h2>
Tuesday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
<a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/57276&quot; title="Chase Anderson Pitching Logs">Anderson</a>, by our strict standards, is just 2/18 on quality starts this season and only one for his last 11. But those figures are adversely affected by a short leash. Nine times this season Anderson has pitched to within three outs or less of a QS only to get pulled. Last Tuesday he held the Pirates to two runs and six hits through 5 2/3 innings of a 4-3 Milwaukee victory. And over his last five starts, he's allowed just seven runs and 20 hits through 28 innings.
</p>
<p>
The Brewers are 9-9 with Anderson this season, 3-2 over his last five starts.
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<p>
In his most recent start against Minnesota, in July of last season, Anderson allowed just one run and three hits over 6 1/3 innings of a 3-2 Milwaukee win.
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<p>
<a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/40322&quot; title="Martin Perez Pitching Logs">Lefty Perez</a> is 7/20 on quality starts this year but 0 for his last four. Last Wednesday he got knocked around by the Braves for seven runs – six earned – and 11 hits, including three homers, through six innings of an 11-7 Twins loss. And over his last four starts, he's allowed 19 ER and 32 hits, including ten dingers (!), through 21 innings.
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<p>
Minnesota is 11-9 with Perez this year, 2-3 over his last five starts.
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<p>
This start will be Perez's first against the Brewers since 2016 when he was with Texas.
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<h2>
Tuesday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Minnesota is batting .263/.330/.489 against right-handed pitching this season. But this lineup is operating without Nelson Cruz (.294, 32 HR), who's on the DL with a bad wrist.
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<p>
Milwaukee is batting .245/.317/.429 against left-handed pitching this season. This lineup has been operating without reigning NL MVP Christian Yelich for the last week, but it's hoped he'll be good to go for this game.
</p>
<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Twins bullpen owns a 4.46 ERA this season and a 1.37 WHIP while allowing a .750 OPS.
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<p>
The Brewers pen owns a 4.54 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP while allowing a .721 OPS.
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<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Overs are 59-52 in Twins games this season.
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<li>
Unders are 62-53 in Brewers games this season.
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<li>
Unders are 30-28 in games played at Miller Park this season.
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<li>
Unders are 2-0 in Twins-Brewers games this season.
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</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1082173">Twins at Brewers MLB Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Twins at Brewers Prediction 08/13/2019

Anderson gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and while Minnesota may own an edge with the sticks on paper, it also might be feeling Cruz's absence, scoring a total of just nine runs over its last three games. We like the Brew Crew here for our free MLB pick for Tuesday.

Free Pick: Take Milwaukee -125
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