Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Pick

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Pick

Darin Zank
Date: July 25, 8:10 pm
Location: Guaranteed Rate Field
TV: NBCS Chicago

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Twins -145/White Sox +135
Total: 8.5

<p>
The Twins still cling to a short lead in the AL Central, heading into the opener of a four-game rivalry series with the White Sox Thursday night on the South Side. Which way are we going here with our free MLB pick?
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Thursday's MLB betting odds opened Minnesota at around -145 over Chicago, with an over/under of nine runs. Early betting action then dipped that total to 8.5.
</p>
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<h2>
Twins vs. White Sox Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Minnesota just dropped two of three games at home to the Yankees, losing Wednesday's series rubber match 10-7. Just before that, the Twins split four games with Oakland, and just before that they got swept two games by the Mets. So Minnesota is 0-2-1 over its last three series and just 3-7 over its last ten games.
</p>
<p>
At 61-40 overall the Twins' lead in the AL Central is down to just two games over second-place Cleveland.
</p>
<p>
Chicago, meanwhile, just dropped two of three games at home to Miami, losing Wednesday's series rubber match 2-0. Just before that the White Sox took two of three games from Tampa Bay, but just before that they got swept four games by Kansas City. Going back a bit further Chicago is 1-3 over its last four series and 4-12 over its last 16 games.
</p>
<p>
At 45-54 overall the White Sox trail Minnesota by 15 games in the AL West, and they're 11 games behind the A's in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.
</p>
<p>
The Twins lead the season series with ChiSox four games to two.
</p>
<h2>
Thursday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
Giolito, by our stringent standards, is 9/19 on quality starts this season but only one for his last three. Last Saturday he held the Rays to one run and seven hits through 6 2/3 innings, with nine strikeouts, in a 2-1 Chicago victory. But over his two starts previous to that he gave up nine runs and 11 hits through 10 innings.
</p>
<p>
The White Sox are 13-6 with Giolito this season, but 1-2 over his last three starts.
</p>
<p>
In his only start this season against Minnesota, back in June, Giolito tossed five innings of one-hit, shutout ball in a 4-3 Chicago win.
</p>
<p>
Berrios is 14/20 on quality starts this year but 0 for his last three, thanks in part to a short leash. Last Saturday he held the A's scoreless on five hits through 5 2/3 innings of a game the Twins eventually lost 5-4. But over his two starts previous to that he gave up six runs and 12 hits through 10 innings.
</p>
<p>
Minnesota is 12-8 with Berrios this year, and while it's 0-4 over his last four starts, that's not all his fault.
</p>
<p>
In two starts this season against the White Sox Berrios allowed ten runs – only four earned – and 18 hits through 14 innings. The Twins split those two games.
</p>
<h2>
Thursday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Minnesota is batting .264/.332/.491 against right-handed pitching this season. The Twins have also scored 34 runs over their last four games.
</p>
<p>
Chicago is batting .249/.305/.399 against RH pitching this season. The White Sox have also scored a total of just one run over their last two games.
</p>
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<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Twins bullpen owns a 4.46 ERA this season and a 1.39 WHIP while allowing a .758 OPS.
</p>
<p>
The White Sox pen owns a 4.42 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP while allowing a .749 OPS.
</p>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Overs are 50-45 in Twins games this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 49-47 in White Sox games this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs are 24-22 in games played at Guaranteed Rate Field this season.
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<li>
Unders are 3-2 in Twins-White Sox games this season.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1080913">Twins at White Sox MLB Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Twins at White Sox Prediction 07/25/2019

We're calling this pitching match-up a push, along with the bullpen comparison. But Minnesota owns the edge with the sticks, and it's got a whole lot more at stake than Chicago, which is already basically playing out the string on this season. So we'll take the Twins for our free MLB pick here.

Free Pick: Take the Twins -145
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