Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox Pick 7/12/19

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox Pick 7/12/19

Darin Zank
Date: July 12, 7:10 pm
Location: Fenway Park
TV: SPORTSNET LA

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Sox -110/Dodgers +100
Total: 11

<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Friday's MLB betting odds opened Boston at around -110 over LA, with an over/under of 10.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped that total to 11.
</p>
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<h2>
Dodgers vs. Red Sox Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Los Angeles finished the first half of this season by losing the last three games of a four-game series against San Diego. Just before that the Dodgers swept two games from Arizona. Going back just a bit Los Angeles is only 1-2-1 over its last four series and 6-7 over its last 13 games.
</p>
<p>
However, at 60-32 overall LA leads the NL West by 13.5 games, and it's 5.5 games up on Atlanta in the battle for the best record in the National League.
</p>
<p>
Boston, meanwhile, finished its first half with a three-game sweep of Detroit. Just before that the Red Sox took two of three from Toronto. So Boston is 5-1 over its last six games.
</p>
<p>
At 49-41 overall the Red Sox trail the division-leading Yankees by nine games in the AL East, but they're only two games back of Cleveland in the battle for the second American League wild-card spot.
</p>
<p>
Last October Boston only needed five games to beat LA in the World Series.
</p>
<h2>
Friday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
Lefty Rodriguez, by our strict standards, is only 6/18 on quality starts this season and 0 for his last four. Last Friday he held Detroit to just one run and four hits through five innings of a 9-6 Red Sox victory. But over his three starts previous to that he gave up nine runs and 18 hits, including four homers, through 18 2/3 innings.
</p>
<p>
Boston is 13-5 with Rodriguez this season, and 4-1 over his last five starts, thanks in part to some good run support.
</p>
<p>
Rodriguez started one game in last year's World Series against the Dodgers, giving up four runs through 5 2/3 innings of a 9-6 Boston victory.
</p>
<p>
Maeda is 7/17 on quality starts this year and two for his last three. Last Saturday he limited San Diego to three runs and four hits through 7 2/3 innings, although Los Angeles lost that game 3-1. And over his last three starts, he's allowed seven runs and 14 hits through 19 innings.
</p>
<p>
The Dodgers are 9-8 with Maeda this year, 2-1 over his last three starts.
</p>
<p>
In three appearances against the Red Sox in the World Series, last Fall Maeda allowed one run and four hits through three innings.
</p>
<h2>
Friday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Los Angeles is batting .258/.337/.450 against left-handed pitching this season.
</p>
<p>
Boston is batting .280/.355/.471 against right-handed pitching this season, which helps this lineup rank among the top two or three in the Majors in this split.
</p>
<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Dodgers bullpen owns a 3.95 ERA this season and a 1.17 WHIP while allowing a .678 OPS. Numbers like those help this unit rank among the top half-dozen bullpens in Baseball at the moment.
</p>
<p>
The Red Sox pen owns a 4.44 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP while allowing a .750 OPS.
</p>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Overs are 44-43 in Dodgers games this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs are 51-36 in Red Sox games this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs are 25-17 in games played at Fenway Park this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs are a lopsided 15-3 with Rodriguez this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders finished 3-2 in that Dodgers-Red Sox World Series last Fall.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1080038">Dodgers at Red Sox MLB Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Dodgers at Red Sox Prediction 07/12/2019

We give Maeda the edge in the pitching match-up, and while Boston might own an advantage with the sticks, LA owns the better bullpen. Also, revenge isn't always a reliable handicapping factor, but it might mean something here. We like the Dodgers for our free MLB pick on this game.

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers +100
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