LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres 10/14/22

LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres 10/14/22

Darin Zank
Date: October 14, 8:30 pm
Location: Petco Park
TV: FS1

Betting Odds

Moneyline: LAD -125/SD +105
Total: 7.5

<p>By splitting the first two games of this best-of-five NLDS in Los Angeles, the Padres now own home-field advantage for the rest of this series, heading into Game 3 Friday night in San Diego. Lefty Blake Snell gets the call for the Padres here against 16-win Tony Gonsolin for the Dodgers.</p>
<p>Which way are we playing this game with our free playoff baseball betting pick?</p>
<h2>Dodgers-Padres MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>The MLB playoffs baseball betting lines opened Los Angeles and Gonsolin at around -140 over San Diego and Snell, with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Early betting action then dipped the Dodgers 15 cents down to -125.</p>
<p>LA could also be found getting around +140, giving the run and a half on the run line.</p>
<p>LA began this NLDS as a a -225 favorite to win it, with the Padres getting +180 as the underdogs. Now, with home-field flipped, the Dodgers are chalked at -170, with San Diego getting +145.</p>
<h2>Dodgers-Padres MLB Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Los Angeles took the opener of this series Tuesday night 5-3, but San Diego won Game 2 Wednesday by that same score of 5-3. The teams then had Thursday off.</p>
<p>LA won Tuesday as a -235 favorite with Julio Urias, while the Padres won Wednesday as +165 underdogs against Clay Kershaw.</p>
<p>So the next two games of this series will be played at Petco Park.</p>
<p>The Dodgers finished 22 games ahead of the Padres in the regular-season standings and took the season series from San Diego 14 games to five.</p>
<h2>Game 3 Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/79509&quot; title="Blake Snell Pitching Game Logs">Snell</a> hit 11/24 on quality starts this season but is 0/1 this postseason after giving up two runs on four hits and six walks through just 3 1/3 innings of a 7-3 loss in the wild-card round against the Mets last Saturday. But over his last four starts of the regular season, he allowed just two runs and ten hits through 25 innings, with six walks against 32 strikeouts.</p>
<p>The Padres only played 9-15 with Snell this season, but that’s as much as five games worse than they should have been, based on his performances.</p>
<p>Over three starts against the Dodgers this season, Snell allowed six runs and 12 hits through 14 innings, with ten walks and 23 strikeouts. San Diego lost two of those three games.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/281148&quot; title="Tony Gonsolin Pitching Game Logs">Gonsolin</a> hit 12/24 on quality starts this year and looked like he might win the NL Cy Young Award, But he then did seven weeks on the DL with a sore forearm. He returned to throw two meaningless innings against Colorado 11 days ago. So he should be well-rested, although that doesn’t necessarily mean sharp.</p>
<p>LA played 19-5 with Gonsolin this season, and that’s about what they should have been.</p>
<p>Over two starts against San Diego, this season Gonsolin allowed one run and seven hits through 12 2/3 innings, with one walk against 14 whiffs. The Dodgers won both those games.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks </h2>
<p>Los Angeles batted .252 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .324 team OBP and a .430 team slugging percentage.</p>
<p>San Diego slashed .239/.317/.380 against right-handed pitching this season.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Padres bullpen posted a 3.83 ERA this season, along with a 1.21 WHIP and a 2.94 K/BB ratio.</p>
<p>The Dodgers bullpen put up a 2.87 ERA this season, an ML-best 1.05 WHIP, and an ML-best 3.53 K/BB ratio. So we rank this unit as the best bullpen in Baseball.<br />
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<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1772959">Dodgers at Padres Game 3 Betting Stats</a>
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</ul>
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<h2>MLB Betting Trends</h2>
<p>Los Angeles played an ML-best 54-27 on the road this season and 32-16 against left-handed starters.</p>
<p>San Diego played 44-37 at home and 58-50 against right-handed starters.</p>
<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<ul>
<li>The Unders played 82-67 in Dodgers games this season.</li>
<li>The Unders played 82-75 in Padres games this season.</li>
<li>The Totals split 9-9 in Dodgers-Padres games this season.</li>
<li>The Unders played 44-35 at Petco Park this season.</li>
<li>The Unders played 31-16 with Snell and Gonsolin this season.</li>
</ul>

Dodgers at Padres Prediction 10/14/22

We give Gonsolin the edge in the pitching match-up here, although he’ll probably be on a short leash. But he’ll then turn things over to the best bullpen in Baseball. Meanwhile, we give Los Angeles the checkmark in the splits with the sticks. We’re betting the Dodgers to take Game 3 Friday night.

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers
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