Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians Odds Analysis - Free MLB Pick

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians Odds Analysis - Free MLB Pick

The Green Man
Date: April 25, 6:06 pm
Location: Progressive Field
TV: Local

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Astros -120 / Indians +110
Total: 8.5ov -105

<p>
The 13-6 Houston Astros visit the 10-8 Cleveland Indians for the first game of a three-game set at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio tonight. The first pitch at Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:10 PM ET. The visiting Astros are on the board as a -120 moneyline favorite over the hometown Indians. The O/U line has been offered at 6.5 runs.
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<p>
In their last game the Astros beat the Tampa Bay Rays 6-4 in 10 innings. In the game the Astros scored six runs on 12 hits and the Rays scored four runs on seven hits.
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<p>
In their last game the Indians lost to the Chicago White Sox 6-2. In the game the Indians scored two runs on six hits and the White Sox scored six runs on 10 hits and scored three runs in the first inning.
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<p>
This season the Astros rank 15th in the Majors in runs scored and 4th in team ERA.
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<p>
The Indians rank 9th in the Majors in runs scored and 23rd in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Matchup<br />
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<p>
Houston: Dallas Keuchel (3-0, 0.96 ERA)<br />
Cleveland: Josh Tomlin (1-2, 11.68 ERA)
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<p>
Dallas Keuchel goes for the Astros tonight and in his last outing he gave up one earned run in seven innings in a 5-1 win over the L.A. Angels. He ranks 3rd in the AL in ERA and in his four starts this season he has only given up three earned runs in 28 innings of work. In five career appearances facing the Indians Keuchel is 3-0 and he has not faced them since the 2015 season when he won the Cy Young award. The Astros have won five of his last six starts and they have won 20 of his last 26 starts when he has had at least five days of rest (his last start was on April 19th).
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<p>
Josh Tiomlin gets the call for the Indians and he gave up three earned runs in six innings in his last outing, which was an 11-4 win over the Minnesota Twins. He was rocked in his previous start not lasting past the 2nd inning and giving up seven earned runs in a 10-4 loss to the Chicago White Sox. Tomlin is an eight-year veteran in the Major, but this will be his first start facing Houston. He faced them last season in an scoreless inning of relief. Cleveland has won 31 of Tomlin’s last 45 starts and they have won six of his last eight starts facing a team that has a winning record.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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<p>
The Indians are 18-9 in their last 27 games against the Astros.
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The Indians are 11-4 in their last 15 home games against the Astros.
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In the last 26 games between these teams the Under record is 19-5-2.
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In the last 15 games between these teams in Cleveland the Under record is 11-4.
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This season the Indians are 2-4 at home and the Astros are 6-2 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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<p>
Houston Astros: 13-6 SU / O/U 10-9 / Run Line W/L 10-9<br />
Cleveland Indians: 10-8 SU / O/U 7-9 / Run Line W/L 8-10
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<h2>
Houston at Cleveland Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
HOU is 6-1 in their last 7 road games
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<li>
HOU is 9-2 in their last 11 overall
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<li>
HOU has an Over record of 7-0 in their last 7 road games
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<li>
CLE is 5-1 in their last 6 overall
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<li>
CLE is 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter
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<li>
CLE has an Under record of 3-0-1 in their last 4 games
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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<p>
<b>ASTROS</b><br />
[P] 03/31/2017 - David Paulino 10-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 03/31/2017 - Collin McHugh 10-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[CF] 04/23/2017 - George Springer "?" Tuesday vs. Cleveland ( Hamstring )<br />
[P] 04/20/2017 - Jandel Gustave 10-day DL (4/19) ( Forearm )
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<p>
<b>INDIANS</b><br />
[P] 04/09/2017 - Cody Anderson 60-day DL (4/2) ( Elbow )
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Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians Prediction 4/25/2017

The Astros have won four of their last five games and they have the 2nd most wins in the Majors. Keuchel has been lights out on the season and looks to become the first pitcher with four wins tonight. Tomlin settled down in his last outing after giving up 13 earned runs in five innings in his previous two starts. Cleveland had their five-game winning streak snapped in their last game when they only scored two runs. They may not get to that total in this game facing Keuchel. On the other side of the coin the Houston lineup will give him some runs of support off Tomlin and the Astros will win and take the first game of this AL series.

Free Pick: Take the Astros -120
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