Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Pick

Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Pick

Darin Zank
Date: August 8, 8:10 pm
Location: Target Field
TV: FS North

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Twins -105/Indians -105
Total: 9

<p>
The Indians are chasing the Twins in the AL Central race and have a chance to finally track them down this weekend when the teams meet for a four-game series in Minneapolis, beginning Thursday night. Which way are we going here for our free MLB pick?
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Thursday's MLB betting odds opened Minnesota at around -110 over Cleveland, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action then eased this game down to a pick 'em.
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<h2>
Indians vs. Twins Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Cleveland just took two of three games at home from Texas, sweeping a series-ending doubleheader Wednesday by scores of 2-0 and 5-1. Just before that the Indians swept three games from the Angels. So Cleveland is 5-1 over its last six games.
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<p>
Minnesota, meanwhile, just dropped two of three games at home to Atlanta, losing Wednesday's series rubber match 11-7. But just before that the Twins swept three games from Kansas City, and just before that they took two of three from Miami. Going back a bit further Minnesota is 9-4 over its last 13 games.
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<p>
At 70-44 overall the Twins lead the AL Central by two games over the 68-46 Tribe. But Minnesota is also now five games back of Houston in the battle for the No. 2 seed in the upcoming American League playoffs.
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<p>
Cleveland, meanwhile, also leads the American League wild-card race by three games over second-place Tampa Bay.
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<p>
The Twins lead the season series with the Tribe five games to four.
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<h2>
Thursday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
This pitching match-up is a rematch of a game played a month ago in Cleveland, a 5-3 Minnesota victory. The Indians led that game 3-0 through six innings before the Twins rallied against the Cleveland bullpen.
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<p>
Also, that game played under a total of nine runs.
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<p>
<a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/48304&quot; title="Kyle Gibson Pitching Logs">Gibson</a>, by our strict standards, is 9/22 on quality starts this season and three for his last four. Last Saturday he limited Kansas City to three runs – two earned – and four hits through 6 2/3 innings of an 11-3 Twins win. And just before that he held the White Sox to one run through six frames of an 11-1 Minnesota victory.
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<p>
The Twins are 15-7 with Gibson this season, 4-1 over his last five starts.
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<p>
Over his last six starts against the Indians, five last year and the one last month, Gibson allowed 16 ER and 29 hits through 32 2/3 innings. Minnesota split those six games.
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<p>
<a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/79593&quot; title="Mike Clevinger Pitching Logs">Clevinger</a> is 6/10 on quality starts this year, and three outs away from a run of six in a row. Last Friday he held the Angels to one run and three hits through 6 1/3 innings of a 7-3 Cleveland win. And over his last six starts, he's allowed just seven runs and 30 hits through 37 1/3 innings, with 49 strikeouts.
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<p>
The Indians are 7-3 with Clevinger this year, 4-0 over his last four starts.
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<p>
Over his last four starts against the Twins, three last year and the one last month, Clevinger allowed just six ER and 20 hits through 24 2/3 innings. Cleveland split those four games.
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<h2>
Thursday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Minnesota is batting .264/.331/.493 against right-handed pitching this season. Numbers like those help this unit rank among the top half-dozen lineups in Baseball in this split.
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<p>
Cleveland is batting .250/.323/.439 against RH pitching this season.
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<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Twins bullpen owns a 4.51 ERA this season and a 1.38 WHIP while allowing a .751 OPS.
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<p>
The Indians pen owns an ML-low 3.17 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP while allowing a .694 OPS. Numbers like those help this unit rank among the top two or three bullpens in Baseball.
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<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Unders are 63-48 in Indians games this season.
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Overs are 58-50 in Twins games this season.
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Overs are 28-28 in games played at Target Field this season.
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<li>
Unders are 6-3 in Indians-Twins games this season.
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<li>
Overs are a combined 18-13 with Gibson and Clevinger this season.
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</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1081878">Indians at Twins MLB Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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</ul>
<p></section></p>

Indians at Twins Prediction 08/08/2019

Clevinger gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and while Minnesota owns an edge with the sticks, Cleveland owns a big advantage in the bullpen comparison. So we like the Indians here for our free MLB pick for Thursday.

Free Pick: Take the Indians -105
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