Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Odds - Free MLB Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Odds - Free MLB Prediction

Rich Crew
Date: June 3, 6:10 pm
Location: Petco Park
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Padres -110 / Reds +105
Total: 7.5

<p>
In the second game of this weekend set, the Padres beat up Matt Harvey on route to an 8-2 Reds victory. The win was the fourth in the last five games for San Diego bringing their home record to 15-20. The loss by Cincinnati was their fourth over the previous six games and dropped their road W/L record to 12-19.
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<p>
Statistically this season the Reds rank 16th in runs scored and 26th in team ERA, and the Padres rank 26th in runs scored and 18th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>Cincinnati:</b> Luis Castillo (4-5 5.49 ERA)<br />
<b>San Diego:</b> Tyson Ross (4-3 3.29 ERA)
</p>
<p></p>
<p>
Castillo is coming off a lackluster performance giving up four earned runs on five hits in a 5-2 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Reds had won his previous four starts where he had shone allowing two or fewer runs in all four games. Castillo’s lone career start against the Padres came last season where he gave up three runs in six innings of work. The Reds have won four of his previous five road starts against a team with a losing record.
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<p>
In Ross’ latest he gave up three earned runs on six hits in 5 1/3 innings breaking off a string of quality starts in a 9-5 win over the Miami Marlins. The Padres have won his last four starts where he gave up seven earned runs over 24 innings. In five career appearances, including four starts, against the Padres Ross is 4-0 with a sparkling ERA of 1.20. The Padres have won four of Ross’ last five home starts.
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<h2>
Reds at Padres Betting Angles<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Reds are 4-1 in their last five games against the Padres.
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<p>
The Padres are 9-4 in their last 13 home games against the Reds.
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<p>
In the last five games between these teams, the total has gone Over every time.
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<p>
In the last 21 games between these teams in San Diego, the Under record is 14-6-1.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>Cincinnati Reds: </b>21-38 SU / O/U 27-30 / Run Line W/L 30-29<br />
<b>San Diego Padres:</b> 26-34 SU / O/U 29-29 / Run Line W/L 30-30
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<p></p>
<p>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/937941">Reds at Padres MLB Match-Up</a></span>
</p>
<h2>
Cincinnati at San Diego Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
CINCY is 6-1 in their last seven games against a team with a losing record
</li>
<li>
CINCY is 1-4 in their previous five games against a right-hand starter
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<li>
CINCY has an Under record of 13-6 in their last 19 games against a right-hand starter
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<li>
SD is 5-1 in their last six home games against a right-hand starter
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<li>
SD is 5-2 in their previous seven home games against a team with a losing record
</li>
<li>
SD has an Over record of 4-1 in their last five games
</li>
</ul>
<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h3>
<p>
<b>REDS </b>
</p>
<p>
[P] 06/02/2018 - Homer Bailey 10-day DL (06/02) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rookie Davis 60-day DL (03/02) ( Hip )<br />
[P] 03/26/2018 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (03/29) ( Oblique )
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<p>
<b>PADRES </b>
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<p>
[CF] 05/29/2018 - Franchy Cordero 10-day DL (05/28) ( Forearm )<br />
[1B] 04/29/2018 - Wil Myers 10-day DL (04/29) ( Oblique )<br />
[C] 05/01/2018 - Austin Hedges 10-day DL (05/01) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 05/15/2018 - Joey Lucchesi 10-day DL (05/15) ( Side )<br />
[P] 05/14/2018 - Kazuhisa Makita 10-day DL (05/13) ( Side )<br />
[RF] 03/26/2018 - Alex Dickerson 60-day DL (03/28) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 03/30/2018 - Colin Rea 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 04/11/2018 - Kirby Yates 10-day DL (04/08) ( Ankle )<br />
[2B] 04/04/2018 - Allen Cordoba 60-day DL (03/26) ( Concussion )<br />
[P] 04/15/2018 - Dinelson Lamet 60-day DL (03/26) ( Forearm )
</p>
<p>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><strong><span style="color:#008000;">Search for the best odds:</span></strong> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/odds">Live MLB Lines</a></span>
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Reds at Padres Prediction 6/3/2018

San Diego's overall home record is not impressive, but they've started to play better at home winning seven of their last ten at Petco Park. They catch a pitcher in Luis Castillo who has been taking his lumps on the road with a bloated 6.49 ERA and a 28.6 QS percentage. On the mound for the Padres is Tyson Ross who rarely tosses a bad one and has never lost against the Reds although it must be noted that he hasn't faced them since 2015. Ross has performed well at home with a 60% QS metric, and overall the team is 8-3 in his 11 starts. I'll lay the small number and back the home squad here.

Free Pick: Take the San Diego Padres -110
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