Cincinnati Reds at Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview & Predictions

Cincinnati Reds at Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: June 26, 7:05 pm
Location: Oriole Park
TV: MASN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cin +117/Balt -127
Total: 10ov -114

<p>A couple of teams on the resurgent path meet when the Reds and Orioles open a three-game inter-league series in Baltimore Monday night. A couple of left-handers go at it here as Cole Irvin starts for the O's against rookie Brandon Williamson for Cincinnati.</p>
<p>How are we playing this game with our free Cin/Bal pick?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds</h2>
<p>Monday's baseball betting market opened Baltimore at around -130 over Cincinnati, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. The moneyline has held steady but the total has moved to 10 in the early betting action.</p>
<h2>Reds-Orioles Betting Preview </h2>
<p>Cincinnati just dropped two of three high-scoring games at home to Atlanta over the weekend, losing Sunday's series rubber match 7-6. But just before that, the Reds swept three games from Colorado, and just before that, they swept three games at Houston.</p>
<p>Going back a bit further, Cincinnati is 5-1 over its last six series and 15-4 over its last 19 games. At 41-37 overall, the Reds are well on their way toward playing over their season wins O/U of 66.</p>
<p>Baltimore, meanwhile, just took two of three games at home from Seattle, winning Sunday's series rubber match 3-2. Just before that, the Orioles split two games with Tampa Bay, while just before that, they won the final game of a series with the Cubs.</p>
<p>So Baltimore is 4-2 over its last six games.</p>
<p>At 47-29 overall, the Orioles are well on their way toward playing over their season wins O/U of 78.</p>
<h2>Monday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/275640&quot; title="Cole Irvin Pitching Game Stats">Irvin</a> is 0/5 on quality starts this season, pitching on a short leash to go along with a pair of relief appearances. Most recently, last Wednesday against the Rays, he gave up a run on two hits in one inning of relief. And five days before that, he gave up three runs in four innings of a 10-3 Baltimore loss to the Cubs.</p>
<p>The Orioles are 2-3 when Irvin starts this season, and that's probably a game better than they should be, based on his performances.</p>
<p>This will be Irvin's first action against Cincinnati since 2019 when he was with Philadelphia, and that's already a long time ago.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/542781&quot; title="Brandon Williamson Pitching Game Logs">Williamson</a> is 1/7 on quality starts this year, also pitching on a short leash. Last Monday against the Rockies, he allowed three runs and six hits through five innings, although the Reds won that game 5-4. And over his last three starts, he's been touched for 13 runs - 12 earned - and 21 hits, including five home runs, through 15 2/3 innings.</p>
<p>Cincinnati is 6-1 with Williamson this season, but that's mainly thanks to some nice run support.</p>
<p>This will be Williamson's first career start against Baltimore.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks </h2>
<p>Cincinnati is batting .267 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .331 team OBP and a .430 team slugging percentage. The Reds have also scored at least five runs nine times over their last ten games!</p>
<p>Baltimore is slashing .257/.335/.424 against left-handed pitching.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens</h2>
<p>The Orioles bullpen owns a 3.79 ERA this season, along with a 1.36 WHIP and a 2.76 K/BB ratio.</p>
<p>The Cincinnati pen owns a 3.84 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a 2.14 K/BB ratio.</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Trends</h2>
<p>Cincinnati is 20-17 on the road this season and 15-10 against left-handed starters.</p>
<p>Baltimore is 24-14 at home and 17-9 against left-handed starters.</p>
<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<ul>
<li>The Overs are 45-33 in Reds games this season.</li>
<li>The Overs are 39-33 in Orioles games.</li>
<li>The Unders are 20-16 at Oriole Park this season.</li>
</ul>

Reds at Orioles Total Pick 6/26/23

We don't know who's going to win this game, and we don't care because our pick comes down on the total. Neither of these starting pitchers deserves a checkmark because neither is going very good as of late. And both teams are banging the ball around pretty good. Cincinnati even better than Baltimore. We're a bit surprised the over/under on this game isn't higher than it is; we're betting the over on the Reds-Orioles Monday night.

Free Pick: Take the Over 10
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