Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Odds Analysis - Free MLB Picks

June 18, 8:05 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Astros -115 / Red Sox +105
Total: 9ov -105

The 38-30 Boston Red Sox will close out their series with the 46-23 Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas tonight when they play the 3rd game of a three-game set. The first pitch at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to be thrown at 8:05 PM ET.

The betting odds for this game list the Astros as a -115 favorite over the visiting Red Sox. The total for this game is on the MLB betting board at or 9 to 9.5 runs.

In Game 2 of this series yesterday the Astros beat the Red Sox 7-1. In the match, the Astros scored seven runs on 11 hits and the Red Sox scored one run on only three hits. Houston scored six runs in the first three innings of the game.

This season the Red Sox rank tied for 14th in the Majors in runs scored and 5th in team ERA.

The Astros rank 4th in the Majors in runs scored and 3rd in team ERA.

Pitching Match Up

Boston: David Price (1-1, 5.09 ERA)

Houston: Joe Musgrove (4-5, 4.81 ERA)

David Price gets the call for this series finale and in his last outing he went six innings and gave up three earned runs in a 4-3 win over the Philadelphia Phillies. The Red Sox have won two of his last three starts and he only has four starts this season after spending the start of it on the DL. In the two wins Price has pitched well only giving up four earned runs while in the two losses he has given up nine earned runs. Price has seven career starts against Houston going 4-2 with a solid ERA of 2.68. In his last road start he was not sharp giving up six earned runs in five innings in a 9-1 loss to the New York Yankees.

Joe Musgrove goes for the Astros tonight and in his last outing he only lasted four innings and gave up two earned runs in a 6-1 loss to the Texas Rangers. This will be his first career start against Boston and Houston has lost two of his last three starts. In Musgrove’s last five outings he has only given up more than two earned runs once. Musgrove has not pitched well at home on the season going 2-5 with an ERA of 5.05 and the Astros have lost six of his last eight starts at Minute Maid Park.

Betting Angles

The Red Sox are 5-2 in their last seven games against the Astros.

In the last eight games between these teams the Over record is 6-2.

This season the Astros are 23-15 at home and the Red Sox are 17-19 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Boston Red Sox: 38-30 SU / O/U 30-34 / Run Line W/L 34-34

Houston Astros: 46-23 SU / O/U 33-30 / Run Line W/L 40-29

Boston at Houston Key Betting Trends

  • BOS is 6-3 in their last 7 overall
  • BOS is 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League West.
  • BOS has an Under record of 4-0-2 in their last 6 games
  • HOU 1-4 in their last 5 home games
  • HOU is 7-17 in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a winning record
  • HOU has an Over is 3-2-1 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Key Player Injuries


[SS] 05/28/2017 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (05/04) ( Shoulder )

[LF] 05/28/2017 - Brock Holt 10-day DL (04/21) ( Vertigo )

[P] 05/28/2017 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )

[P] 05/28/2017 - Tyler Thornburg 60-day DL (04/01) ( Shoulder )

[P] 05/28/2017 - Steven Wright 60-day DL (04/30) ( Knee )

[P] 06/02/2017 - Eduardo Rodriguez 10-day DL (06/02) ( Knee )

[P] 06/02/2017 - Robbie Ross Jr. 10-day DL (05/19) ( Elbow )

[P] 06/16/2017 - Roenis Elias 60-day DL (04/01) ( Oblique )

[P] 06/15/2017 - Brian Johnson 10-day DL (06/15) ( Shoulder )


[RF] 06/14/2017 - Josh Reddick 7-day DL (06/13) ( Concussion )

[P] 06/09/2017 - Collin McHugh 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )

[P] 06/12/2017 - Lance McCullers 10-day DL (06/09) ( Back )

[P] 06/09/2017 - Dallas Keuchel 10-day DL (06/05) ( Neck )

[P] 05/28/2017 - Charlie Morton 10-day DL (05/25) ( Back )

[P] 04/20/2017 - Jandel Gustave 60-day DL (04/19) ( Forearm )

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Prediction June/18/2017

This is the runner game in this series, as these teams have split the first two games. The Red Sox have lost two of their last three games after winning three in a row while the Astros have won two of their last three games after losing three straight. The Red Sox are in 2nd place in the AL East only one game back of the New York Yankees, who have lost five in a row. Houston has the best record in the Majors and they are first place in the AL West 11 games up on the Texas Rangers. Boston has only scored three runs in their last three games. Price has been up and down this season and three of his four starts have been on the road. He will have a good outing tonight and the Boston lineup will break out of their slump and get to Musgrove early and often. The Red Sox will win this game, win the series, and Houston will lose their 4th game in their last six.

Free Pick: 
Take the Red Sox +105