Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals Game 3 Pick

Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals Game 3 Pick

The Green Man
Date: October 6, 4:10 pm
Location: Busch Stadium
TV: TBS

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Braves -125 / Cardinals +105
Total: 8.5

<p>
This is Game 3 of the NLDS with the Braves winning Game 2 to even the series at 1-1.
</p>
<p>
In the game, the Braves beat the Cardinals 3-0. The Braves scored three runs on eight hits, and the Cardinals were held scoreless on six hits. Atlanta pinch hitter Adam Duvall hit a two-run HR in the 7th inning, and starter Mike Foltynewicz pitched a gem tossing seven scoreless innings and only giving up three hits.
</p>
<p>
The Braves put an end to a four-game losing streak with their Game 2 win, while the Cardinals broke off a two-game win streak with their defeat.
</p>
<p>
This season the Braves rank 7th in runs scored and 10th in team ERA, and the Cardinals rank 19th in runs scored and 5th in team ERA.
</p>
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</div>
<h2>
Pitching Match-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Atlanta: Mike Soroka (13-4 2.68 ERA)
</p>
<p>
<b>St. Louis:</b> Adam Wainwright (14-10 4.19 ERA)
</p>
<p>
The Braves had won two in a row before Soroka’s last start where he gave up three earned runs on seven hits in five innings in a 7-6 loss to the New York Mets. In his previous two starts, he had given up two earned runs in 11 innings of work. Soroka’s pitched well in the two starts facing the Cardinals this season, both in May, where the Braves went 1-1, and he gave up only one earned run in 13 innings. On the season, Soroka ranked 3rd in the NL in ERA. While the Braves have won 22 of his last 32 starts, overall, they have lost four of his last five road starts.
</p>
<p>
The Cardinals had won six in a row with Wainwright on the mound before he was lit up his last start of the regular season giving up six earned runs on 12 hits, including four HR, in four 1/3 inning in an 8-6 loss to the Chicago Cubs. He had gone four starts only giving up one earned run, but in his last two starts, he has given up 11 earned runs in nine 1/3 innings. Wainwright was not sharp in his lone start against the Braves this season, which was in Atlanta, where he gave up five earned runs in four innings in a 10-2 St. Louis loss. The Cardinals are 13-3 in his last 16 starts, and they are 4-1 in his previous five starts facing a team with a winning record. The Cardinals have won 10 of Wainwright's 14 starts against the Braves, and they have won five of his last seven home starts facing them.
</p>
<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
The Braves are 5-2 in their last seven games against the Cardinals.
</li>
<li>
The Braves are 6-1 in their last seven games road games against the Cardinals.
</li>
<li>
In the last 26 games between these teams, the Over record is 18-8.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>Atlanta Braves:</b> 98-66 SU / O/U 77-79 / Run Line W/L 83-81
</p>
<p>
<b>St. Louis Cardinals:</b> 92-72 SU / O/U 70-86 / Run Line W/L 89-75
</p>
<h2>
Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
ATL is 1-4 in their last five games
</li>
<li>
ATL is 1-5 in their previous six road games
</li>
<li>
ATL has an Under record of 14-6-1 in their past 21 games against a right-hand starter
</li>
<li>
STL is 2-5 in their last seven games
</li>
<li>
STL is 20-8 in their previous 28 home games
</li>
<li>
STL has an Over record of 5-1 in their last six games
</li>
</ul>
<h3>
Team Info<br />
</h3>
<p>
The Braves won Game 2 of this series to snap their four-game losing streak and even the series at a game apiece. Atlanta had given up 14 runs in the two games previous to the Game 2 shutout win.
</p>
<p>
Not only have the Braves lost their last four road games against a team with a winning record, but they have also lost their previous four road playoff games.
</p>
<p>
The Cardinals had totaled 16 runs in winning two games in a row, including scoring seven in the Game 1 win in this series, before being shutout in Game 2. In the Game 2 loss, the number 1-3 hitters only combined for one hit.
</p>
<p>
The Cardinals have lost four of their last five playoff games but have won nine of their previous 13 playoff games at home.
</p>
<h3>
Key Injuries<br />
</h3>
<p>
<b>BRAVES </b>
</p>
<p>
RP Chris Martin is out indefinitely.
</p>
<p>
<b>CARDINALS</b>
</p>
<p>
SP Michael Wacha is out indefinitely, and RP Brett Cecil is out until mid-October.
</p>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1182414">Atlanta at St. Louis MLB Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Braves at Cardinals Prediction 10/6/19

The Braves are the road favorite in this game and not surprising since Wainwright has been shelled giving up 11 earned runs in his last two starts. On top of that, he was not sharp against the Braves in his one appearance facing them this season, giving up five earned runs and failing to get out of the 5th inning in a Cardinals’ loss. Wainwright will struggle again in this playoff game, as Atlanta will get to him early and often. Add that to a strong start from Soroka, and you get a Braves win, as they will take a 2-1 series lead.

Free Pick: Take the Atlanta Braves -125
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