Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Betting Pick

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Betting Pick

Darin Zank
Date: July 25, 7:40 pm
Location: Target Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Sea +100/Minn -120
Total: 8

Two American League playoff hopefuls will clash in Minneapolis as the Minnesota Twins (54-48) take on the Seattle Mariners (50-50) in the second game of their three-game series. The Twins will look to extend their four-game winning streak, while the Mariners aim to bounce back after Monday night's 4-3 extra-innings defeat.

MLB Betting Odds

Tuesday’s baseball betting market opened this game as a close contest, listed at nearly a pick 'em, with an over/under set at eight runs. Early betting action then moved the odds to favor the Twins at -120.

Mariners-Twins Betting Preview

Minnesota secured a thrilling victory in the series opener with a 4-3 win in 10 innings. The Twins managed to tie the game in the ninth inning after falling behind 3-2 on a two-out, two-run Kolten Wong home run. They eventually clinched the win with a run in the bottom of the tenth. The game went off as a pick 'em, and the total runs scored sneaked under eight.

The Twins currently lead the season series against the Mariners, having won four out of the six games played so far.

Minnesota's excellent form has brought them a four-game winning streak and a 54-48 overall record, granting them a four-game lead in the AL Central over second-place Cleveland.

Seattle, on the other hand, has struggled recently, posting a 3-4 record in their last seven games. With a 50-50 overall record, the Mariners sit in ninth place in the American League playoff standings, trailing Boston by three games for the sixth spot.

Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up

Tuesday's game will feature a rematch of a contest that took place last Thursday in Seattle, which resulted in a 5-0 victory for the Mariners.

Pablo Lopez has delivered ten quality starts out of 20 this season. In his last meeting against the Mariners, he allowed two runs and six hits through five innings but took the loss. His performance prior to that game was a bit shaky when he gave up seven runs in 5 2/3 innings with a big early lead against Oakland.

Minnesota has posted an 11-9 record in games started by Lopez this season, a reflection of his overall performances.

George Kirby boasts an impressive 15 quality starts out of 19 this year, with five quality starts in his last six outings. In his last start against the Twins, he tossed seven innings of four-hit, shutout ball with ten strikeouts and zero walks, earning the win. Prior to that, he had a tough outing, giving up six runs in five innings against Detroit.

The Mariners have recorded a 10-9 record in games started by Kirby this season, but with better run support, he could easily have a 14-5 record.

Notably, last Thursday's game was the first time Kirby and Lopez faced each other.

Splits With the Sticks

Seattle's lineup has recorded a .228 batting average against right-handed pitching this season, along with a .313 team on-base percentage and a .395 team slugging percentage.

Minnesota's lineup, meanwhile, has produced a .241/.321/.422 slash line against right-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

The Twins' bullpen has maintained a 3.58 ERA this season, along with a 1.20 WHIP and a 2.70 strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/BB).

The Mariners' bullpen has recorded a 3.72 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a 2.83 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

Seattle has struggled on the road, posting a 21-25 record. Against right-handed starters, they are 38-38.

Minnesota has performed well at home, boasting a 30-22 record. They have a solid 43-37 record against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

The over has prevailed in 49 of the Mariners' games this season, while the over has hit in 50 of the Twins' games. At Target Field, the over has hit in 25 out of the 48 games played.

Mariners vs. Twins Moneyline Prediction 7/25/23

With George Kirby's excellent performances this season, he holds the edge in the pitching match-up. However, Minnesota has advantages in both their hitting splits and bullpen comparison. Moreover, the Twins' current hot form contrasts with Seattle's more inconsistent play. Considering these factors, we're leaning toward the Minnesota Twins for Tuesday night's game.

Free Pick: Take Minnesota -120
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