2023 Bank of America ROVAL 400 Preview and Picks

2023 Bank of America ROVAL 400 Preview and Picks

Jay Horne
Date: October 8, 2:00 pm
Location: Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course

Betting Odds

Last week, our NASCAR predictions for Talladega struck gold with a 12-1 winner in Ryan Blaney. Blaney’s victory secured his advancement to the Round of 8, making Sunday’s elimination race at Charlotte Motor Speedway’s ROVAL even more intriguing. While the championship picture is taking shape, let's focus on another betting opportunity for Sunday’s Bank of America ROVAL 400.

The Cup Series has seen plenty of road courses this season, with the Bank of America ROVAL 400 marking the 6th road course event of the year. We've gathered insights from previous races to provide a baseline of expectations for this weekend's event. Let's explore some key historical notes:

Charlotte Motor Speedway ROVAL: Betting Notes

  • Since the introduction of the ROVAL in 2018, Chase Elliott is the only driver with multiple wins (2).
  • Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson, and Christopher Bell are also former winners at the ROVAL.
  • Alex Bowman boasts the best average finishing position (6.0) at the ROVAL, with four top-10 finishes in 4 career starts.
  • Kyle Busch has finished 4th and 3rd in his last two starts at the ROVAL.
  • Tyler Reddick has an impressive 7.3 average finishing position through 3 career starts at the ROVAL.
  • The eventual winner has started from the top 10 positions in 4 of the 5 races at the ROVAL.
  • Chevrolet drivers have won 3 of the 5 races at the ROVAL.
  • There have been 8 cautions or more in 4 of the 5 races at the ROVAL.

Our handicapping tool, dynamic averages, compiles loop data results from all five previous road course races this season. Notably, Michael McDowell, Tyler Reddick, Christopher Bell, and William Byron have triple-digit average ratings this season at road course venues. Martin Truex Jr, Chase Elliott, and Kyle Larson also exhibit strong performance trends on road courses.

While Truex and Elliott are renowned road course talents, the data, and historical analysis suggests that Tyler Reddick and William Byron are among the top favorites this week and might offer better value from an odds perspective. Michael McDowell, known for his prowess on road courses in the Next Gen Car, presents dark horse appeal and could shine in H2H formats as well.

Jay's Bank of America ROVAL 400 Picks

Favorite: Tyler Reddick +800

Dark Horse: Kyle Busch +1800

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