Nebraska at Iowa Spread Pick: Hawkeyes cover the spread

Nebraska at Iowa Spread Pick: Hawkeyes cover the spread

Statinator
Date: January 12, 9:30 pm
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Iowa -3.3
Total: 166

Iowa laying 3.5 at home: This line's no surprise. Iowa's offense is a juggernaut, racking up 86.7 points per game. They're playing in their backyard at Carver-Hawkeye Arena, and that home-court advantage is baked into this spread. But don't sleep on Nebraska; they're not just showing up to play - they're showing up to compete.

A whopper of a total at 166: This number screams shootout. The oddsmakers are expecting fireworks, and why not? Both squads can light up the scoreboard. But here's where the savvy comes in - it's not just about points scored; it's about points allowed. Nebraska's defense is tighter than a drum, conceding only 67.6 points on average. That's where the under might just have the edge.

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Digging into the Stats:

Nebraska's Defense vs. Iowa's Offense: The real story here. Nebraska's defense is stout, and if they can put the clamps on Iowa's high-flying offense, they'll keep this game closer than the 3.5 spread suggests.

Efficiency on Both Ends: Nearly identical effective FG% for both teams. It's about who gets hot and who stays hot.

The Battle Under the Boards: Nebraska has the upper hand in rebounds. Controlling the glass could be key, especially in a game with this many possessions.

Where the Smart Money Goes:

Spread: Lean towards Iowa to cover. Their offense at home is a force, but it's no slam dunk. Nebraska's defense could make them sweat for every point.
Total Points: The under is tempting here. That 166 is a mountain of points, even for two high-scoring teams. With Nebraska's defense potentially slowing the tempo, under bettors might find value.

Cornhuskers vs Hawkeyes Free Pick ATS

Iowa's the favorite for a reason, but Nebraska's not just another stepping stone. This game's a chess match, not a sprint. For those laying the points with Iowa, it's about faith in their offense. For total points bettors, it's a judgment call on whether Nebraska's D can throw cold water on Iowa's fire.

Free Pick: Take Iowa -3.5
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