Today's NBA Picks 8/11/20 - Odds Analysis
Only a few days remain in the NBA's re-start season, and while most of the playoff field is locked in, some things are yet to be determined. So motivation becomes a key handicapping factor. Here's our take on a couple of Tuesday's games, with our free NBA betting picks.
Celtics -4.5/224.5 vs. Grizzlies, 5 pm ET
Boston is 4-2 SU, 2-3-1 ATS since the NBA's re-start, after outlasting Orlando in overtime Sunday 122-119. The Celtics actually trailed the Magic by five points with 48 seconds left but got two buckets from Jayson Tatum to force OT, then won it in extra time. But they couldn't cover as 8.5-point favorites.
At 47-23 overall (40-26 ATS), Boston is now locked into the No. 3 spot for the upcoming Eastern Conference playoffs. So motivation becomes a question mark for the Celtics Tuesday.
Memphis, meanwhile, is just 1-5 both SU and ATS since the re-start, after losing to Toronto Sunday 108-99. The Grizzlies led the Raptors by eight points in the second quarter but fell down by 17 in the third. Memphis rallied to within 95-92 with three and a half minutes to play but faded from there and missed ATS as a 6.5-point underdog. The Grizz shot just 41 percent from the floor Sunday while allowing Toronto to shoot 48 percent. At 33-38 overall (35-35 ATS), the Grizzlies own the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference at the moment, but they're only a half-game ahead of No. 9 Portland and one game ahead of both Phoenix and San Antonio. Two of those four teams are headed toward a mini-playoff to decide that final playoff slot this weekend. These teams met back in January, a 119-95 Celtics victory in Boston. The Celts trailed that game 42-35 in the second quarter but used a 23-0 run to take control. Boston later led by 38. On the night, the Celtics shot 51 percent from the floor, held the Grizz to just 42 percent shooting, and covered easily as seven-point favorites. The win was Boston's eighth straight over Memphis.
Free NBA Pick: Motivation is everything in this game. Boston is already locked into its playoff seeding and will likely rest key people, while Memphis needs this one bad. We'll take the Grizzlies and the points.
Trailblazers -2.5 vs. Mavericks, 6:30 pm ET, TNT
Portland is 4-2 SU, 4-1-1 ATS during this re-start, after beating Philadelphia Sunday 124-121. The Blazers led by 17 in the second quarter, allowed the shorthanded 76ers to pull within one point in the final minute but held on for both the victory and the cover as 2.5-point favorites.
On the night, Portland, led by Damian Lillard's 16/28 shooting performance, shot 47 percent from the floor and hit 27/29 from the free-throw line.
At 33-39 overall (31-38 ATS) the Blazers trail No. 8 Memphis by a half-game in the Western Conference, but they're also only a half-game ahead of Phoenix and San Antonio as those four teams scrum for spots in this weekend's mini-playoff. Dallas, meanwhile, is 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS since the re-start, after beating Utah Monday 122-114. The Mavericks, playing without both Luka Doncic (ankle) and Kristaps Porzingis (knee), trailed the Jazz by 22 early in the third quarter, then rallied from there as the Jazz rested their starters the rest of the way. On the afternoon, Dallas shot a hot 57 percent from the floor and hit 12/24 from 3-point land. At 43-30 overall (37-33 ATS), the Mavericks own the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference. Dallas only trails No. 6 Utah by one game and No. 5 Oklahoma City by a game and a half, and it's nine games clear of the No. 8 Blazers. Doncic and Porzingis are both listed as questionable for Tuesday. Portland won the first meeting between these teams this season 121-119 way back in October, but Dallas won the next two by scores of 120-112 and 133-125. Free NBA Pick: Again, motivation will play a big part in this game. Dallas is already in the playoffs, and moving up a spot or two won't really make a difference. Portland, on the other hand, needs this one. Plus, the Mavs will probably play without two of their best players. We'll give the points with the Blazers here.