Villarreal at Real Madrid Free Spanish Liga Pick - Betting Odds

January 13, 11:30 AM EST

Betting Odds

Real Madrid -400/Villarreal +900/Draw +550

Real Madrid got complacent as expected in the second leg of their Copa del Rey tie against Numancia, and conceded two goals. However, they easily managed to move on to the quarter-finals of the competition. They will now return to La Liga duties, when they will play host to Villarreal on Saturday. Villarreal should be feeling really dissappointed right now, as they were eliminated by Leganes in the Copa del Rey.

Real Madrid (9-3-5) are coming into this match after a somewhat indifferent match against Numancia in the round of 16 of the Copa del Rey. They had easily won the first leg by 3-0 on the road, and the second leg in Madrid was pretty much a typical procedure. However, Real Madrid were actually stunned by their opponents, as they saw them equalize both their goals and record a 2-2 draw. Prior to that, Real Madrid were also stuck in another 2-2 draw, this time against Celta on the road. Real Madrid are now sitting at the 4th spot of the La Liga with 32 points, five points off Valencia and a whopping sixteen behind league leaders Barcelona. They have not been as strong as usual at home (5-2-2), where they have won just two of their last five matches in all competitions (2-1-2). Moreover, they will be coming here without Sergio Ramos, while Karim Benzema is still listed as questionable to participate.

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On the other hand, Villarreal (8-6-4) should be feeling really frustrated about their most recent match, where they might have defeated Leganes by 1-2 at home, but they were eliminated on away goals. They had lost by 0-1 on the road in the first leg, and their Copa del Rey endeavours stop here. They have not been in the best of forms lately, as they have won just three of their last eight matches in all competitions (3-4-1). Villarreal are currently sitting at the 6th spot of the La Liga with 28 points, just a single point behind Sevilla and four points behind Real Madrid. They have been quite competitive on the road so far (4-4-2), where they have actually lost just two of their last eight matches in all competitions (4-2-2). They have kept three clean sheets in that span, and have only failed to score once. They will be making this trip with a lot of injury concerns, as Fernandez, Semedo and Suarez have been ruled out, while Bruno, Sansone and Soriano are still listed as doubtful.

Villarreal at Real Madrid Prediction

Villarreal held out for a 1-1 draw in this venue last season, before blowing a two-goal lead at home to eventually lose by 3-2. They have actually challenged Real Madrid pretty good in recent years, but they have never ever won in this venue. They have only suffered few big losses here and, if anything, I believe that they can defend the +2 goal handicap in this match.

Free Pick: 
Take Villarreal +2 (-121)