On March 13, 2023, the Buffalo Sabres will travel to Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Sabres have a record of 32-28-5, while the Maple Leafs are 40-17-8. The moneyline for the game is Sabres +222/Leafs -250, and the total is set at 7.

Last Game:

The Buffalo Sabres lost their last game to the New York Rangers 1-2 on March 11, 2023. The Sabres were underdogs with a line of +140. They scored one goal on 33 shots and went 0-2 on the power play. The Sabres penalty kill was 2-3, and goaltender Igor Shesterkin made 32 saves.

The Toronto Maple Leafs won their last game against the Edmonton Oilers 7-4 on March 11, 2023. The Maple Leafs were favorites with a line of -125. They scored seven goals on 38 shots and went 2-5 on the power play. The Maple Leafs penalty kill was 2-3, and goaltender Stuart Skinner made 22 saves.

Satistically Away/Home

Away Team Overall Scoring vs. Home Team Overall Defense

The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 3.90 goals per game, while the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.61 goals per game.

Advantage: Buffalo Sabres

Away Team Away Scoring vs. Home Team Home Defense

The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 3.27 goals per game on the road, while the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.68 goals per game at home.

Advantage: Buffalo Sabres

Away Team Road Powerplay vs. Home Team Home Penalty Kill

The Buffalo Sabres are converting on 18.75% of their power plays on the road, while the Toronto Maple Leafs are killing off 77.78% of their penalties at home.

Advantage: Toronto Maple Leafs

Home Team Overall Scoring vs. Away Team Overall Defense

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.40 goals per game, while the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.22 goals per game.

Advantage: Toronto Maple Leafs

Home Team Home Scoring vs. Away Team Road Defense

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.19 goals per game at home, while the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.06 goals per game on the road.

Advantage: Toronto Maple Leafs

Home Team Home Power Play vs. Away Team Road Penalty Kill

The Toronto Maple Leafs are converting on 22.73% of their power plays at home, while the Buffalo Sabres are killing off 76.47% of their penalties on the road.

Advantage: Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
• Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
• Toronto is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo

Buffalo Sabres

• The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 15 games
• Buffalo is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Toronto

Injuries:

The Buffalo Sabres have several players listed as out due to injuries, including A. Tuch (lower body), E. Comrie (lower body), M. Samuelsson (upper body), and R. Dahlin (upper body). Meanwhile, the Toronto Maple Leafs have L. Schenn (personal), V. Mete (lower body), and R. O'Reilly (finger) listed as questionable.

Expert Handicapper Prediction:

Based on the statistics and trends above, the Toronto Maple Leafs have the advantage in this matchup. They have a stronger home power play and overall defense, which should help them hold off the Buffalo Sabres' offense. Additionally, the Maple Leafs have a better record at home and a higher winning percentage overall. The Sabres scoring potential and their decent recent record against the Leafs has me on the Over.