Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Pick ATS - Odds and Betting Preview

Date: 
September 23, 1:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Jaguars -6.5
Total: 
39.5

This season the Titans are 1-1 ATS with an O/U record of 1-1 and the Jaguars are 2-0 ATS with an O/U record of 1-1.

THE NFL LINE

The Jaguars opened as a 6.5-point home favorite with a total of 39.5 and with the news that Gabbart is starting the line has climbed to Jax -10 and the total line has gone up a notch to 40 points at most sportsbooks.

Last Games: The Titans moved to 1-1 with a 20-17 home win over the Houston Texans where they covered the spread as a 3.5-point underdog, and the total went Under. The Jaguars moved to 2-0 with an impressive 31-20 home win over the New England Patriots where they covered as a 2-point underdog, and the total easily went OVER.


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Tennessee at Jacksonville NLF Game Set-Up

The Titans got their first win of the season in their last game even though starting QB Marcus Mariota did not play with backup Blane Gabbert taking all the snaps He was 13/20 for 117 yards with a TD and no INTs. He's reported to be the starter again in Week 3.

In the win over Houston, the Titans were out-gained 437 yards to 283 yards but forced the game's only turnover. The Titans rushed for 100 yards last week and will need more of the same this Sunday, but may find the going tough against the ninth-ranked run D of the Jags.

The Jags have to be riding high after their 2-0 start avenging their AFC title game loss to Patriots last season. In the win over the Pats, the Jags did have two turnovers, but they jumped out to a 14-0 lead, stuffed the run, and out-gained New England 481 yards to 302 yards.

Blake Bortles had a great game in the New England win with 377 yards with four TD and one INT. Leonard Fournette missed the Patriots game, and the young star RB is questionable for this game. If he cannot go, there will be more pressure on Bortles and RB T.J. Yeldon, who rushed for 58 yards in the New England game and averaged a legit 5.8 yards per carry.

Tennessee only ranks 20th in the league in pass defense and 26th in run defense.

This season the Titans rank 25th in the league in total offense and 26th in total defense and the Jaguars rank 9th in total offense and 7th in total defense.

Head to Head: last season the Titans won both of their games facing the Jaguars.

Sagarin Rankings

Tennessee Titans: 18.46
Jacksonville Jaguars: 23.04

Get more details: Tennessee at Jacksonville NFL Match-Up

Titans at Jags NFL Key Betting Trends/Angles

  • TENN is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
  • TENN is 9-22 in their previous 31 road games
  • TENN has an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record
  • JAX is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
  • JAX is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games
  • JAX has an Over record of 11-5 in their last 16 home games

Head to Head Trends

The favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 games between these teams.

The Titans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Jaguars.

The Jaguars are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against the Titans.

In the last 5 games between these teams, the Over record is 5-1.

In the last 8 games between these teams in Jacksonville, the Under record is 6-2.

Next Game Titans vs. Eagles
Jaguars vs. Jets

Titans at Jaguars Prediction 9/23/18

When the line opened, I considered playing the Jaguars -6.5, but the consensus line of -10 is way too much for me to feel comfortable laying. Jacksonville I coming off an emotional win over New England and could come up flat in this game. That doesn’t mean that I’m backing the Titans getting the double-digit point spread line. Marcus Mariota is apparently available for this game, but Gabbert is getting the start, and for anyone who hasn't read my analysis in the past, I place him in the last spot in rankings for experienced backups. His numbers this season certainly don't change my opinion with him hitting under 57.1% of his passes this season and to make matters worse the Titans are forced to go with a makeshift offensive line today.

Free Pick: 
Take the UNDER 40

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