Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals ATS Pick - Odds and Betting Predictions

October 28, 1:00 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Cincinnati -3.5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) and Cincinnati Bengals (4-3) will square off in an AFC vs. NFC collision on Sunday, October 28th, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Over the span of 16 years where the teams met only four times, the Bucs have won three of those four meetings. However, Cincy won the most recent meeting in 2014 when they edged out the Bucs by a score of 14-13 in Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay remains 4-0 ATS over this 16-year period.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals Overview

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay comes in off an overtime win last week at home against the Cleveland Browns when the Bucs edged out the Dawgs by a score of 26-23. The victory saw the Bucs end a three-game losing streak. However, Tampa has failed to cover now in four consecutive outings.

Cincinnati Bengals

Clueless was one word that some used to describe the look on Cincinnati skipper Marvin Lewis' face when he saw his defense get lit up for 45 points Sunday Night against the Kansas City Chiefs. After getting off to a 3-1 start, the Bengals have come back down to Earth losing in back-to-back weeks to the Pittsburgh Steelers and then, of course, the debacle on Sunday night against KC.

Reasons to Avoid Tampa Bay

The Bucs come in off a hard-earned win in overtime and have to follow this up with a road trip against a quality opponent. This is a prime let-down spot. When you factor this in with the narrative of Cincinnati's own woes, this sets up Cincinnati for an excellent bounce back. Outside of the handicapping angles, Tampa Bay's defense is the worst in the league. The Bucs give up 32.7 points per game and an insatiable 327.5 passing yards through the air. This is especially bad news considering Cincinnati has one of the game's best receivers in A.J Green who is in line to have a FanDuel frenzy. We would need all the points we could get here, but given the fact many have been scuffed up, Tampa Bay must be avoided.

Reasons to Back Cincinnati

The Bengals will be a popular fade target this week after painting a bleak picture in a primetime spot last week. We saw Cincinnati open in this market as a six-point choice, but that has since diminished now to its current position where we can likely step in on a short-sold favorite. Given the fact, Tampa Bay has lost its last two road games as well we have to like the prospects of Cincy getting a win here and betting their chances of a cover against a reduced line while doing so.

Get more details: Tampa Bay at Cincinnati NFL Match-Up

Tampa Bay at Cincinnati Prediction 10/28/2018

The Bengals will go forth and silence the skeptics in perhaps their most proficient offensive performance of the year. Given the contrast in the climate when comparing the lukewarm temperatures of Tampa, Florida to the blustery conditions of Cincinnati, Ohio, Tampa Bay's high-octane offense will likely sputter and stall a bit more than it would like. This is Tampa's only calling card to keep the game close, but given these variables, that seems very unlikely. Cincy in a rout.

Free Pick: 
Take Cincinnati -3.5
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