Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants ATS Pick - Odds and Betting Predictions

October 11, 8:20 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Eagles -3

The Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Giants get Week 6 of the NFL season underway this Thursday night. The Eagles come into this NFC East tilt as three-point road favorites with 5Dimes, and the total has been set at 45 points.

The renewal of a classic NFL East rivalry gets things started in the NFL this week with the Philadelphia Eagles going on the road to take on the New York Giants this Thursday night. Game time from MetLife Stadium is set for 8:20 with FOX and NFL Network carrying the game nationally.

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Philadelphia at New York Game Overview

The Eagles’ defense of last season’s Super Bowl title has not gone as planned in a shaky straight-up 2-3 start while going 1-4 against the spread. They have lost their last two games to Tennessee on the road and to Minnesota at home by a combined five points as favorites on the closing line. The total has stayed UNDER in three of Philadelphia’s first five games and in both games on the road.

Costly turnovers on offense and blown coverages on defense have contributed heavily to the Eagles slow start. Overall, their give/take ratio is minus four, which is well down the list after being one of the top teams in this category in 2017. The rust from an extended layoff is still evident in Carson Wentz’s play at quarterback on an offense that is ranked 25th in the NFL in scoring with 20.6 points per game.

If it were not for bad luck, the Giants would not have any luck at all. Their record on the year sunk to 1-4 SU with a 2-3 record ATS in a wild 33-31 loss to Carolina on a last-second 63-yard field goal. New York did manage to cover as a 6.5-point road underdog in that game, and the total easily went OVER 43.5-point closing line. It has stayed UNDER in three of its first five games. The Giants have lost their first two games at home (SU and ATS) by a combined 20 points.

Even when New York has played well enough to win, it has found ways to lose. Other than the 15-point loss to New Orleans in Week 4, the Giants have lost their other three games by a combined 13 points. They have not done themselves any favors with a turnover ratio of minus three and their offense is ranked 28th in the NFL in rushing with an average of just 75.6 yards per game. New York is 24th in scoring with 20.8 PPG.

Philadelphia at New York Betting Trends

  • The Eagles are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 NFC games, but they are 1-4 ATS in five of their last six road games against a team with a straight up losing record at home. The total has gone OVER in 11 of their last 15 games against the NFC East.
  • The Giants have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games, but they have failed to cover in eight of their last 11 games against the conference. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five division games.
  • Philadelphia has covered in eight of its last 11 road games against the Giants and the total has gone OVER in the previous six meetings in New York.

Get more details: Philly at New York NFL Match-Up

Philadelphia at New York Prediction 10/11/2018

It is safe to say that this is an essential game for each of these division foes. Philadelphia still has the edge as the overall better team. However, it has yet to put together a full four-quarter effort. The Giants have played teams tough, but they have forgotten how to win. In what should be a hard-fought battle for all four quarters, whichever team makes the fewer mistakes should win.

My lean for Thursday night is towards the Eagles, but my ‘best bet’ pick is the UNDER on the current 45-point betting line.

Free Pick: 
Take the Under 45
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