NY Jets at Buffalo Bills Week 1 Odds & Pick

Date: 
September 13, 1:00 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Jets +6.5 +100 / Bills -6 -115
Total: 
39.5

The Buffalo Bills host fellow AFC East rival the NY Jets on Sunday at 1 PM at New Era Field, in Buffalo. On Sunday morning, depending on where you bet, the line was BUF -6.5 minus extra money or NYJ +7 minus extra money. Most sportsbooks were hanging a 39.5 for the total today.

Recent Meetings

Being divisional opponents, these two clubs played a home and home series last season, with each team getting a victory. The Bills took the opener 17-16, rallying for 14 fourth-quarter points. Buffalo outgained the Jets 370 -223 yards and had a 23-17 first down advantage. In the second game, which was the regular season's final game, the Jets picked up a 13-6 win. The game was meaningless for the Bills, who handed the ball early to QB M. Barkley and started back-ups R. Foster and D. Williams at the WR position.

Line Movement

This game opened on most NFL boards at Bills -6, and at the time written as mentioned, the line has climbed up to as high as seven at some betting shops. The total has held firmly at 39.5 points.

Injuries

NY Jets
Starting RILB A. Williams is out, and starting SS M. Maye is dealing with calf and ankle injuries and is questionable after being limited in Friday's practice.

Buffalo
The Bills LDT V. Butler has a questionable designation, but he did practice in full on Friday, and barring a setback, should play. Starting RCB, Josh Norman is out with L. Wallace stepping in.

Public Money

The Bills are getting the lion's share of the point spread betting with the public landing on the host in 73% of the wagers. Joe Bettor rarely strays away from an OVER, but they are doing just that here, taking the UNDER in 58% of the action.

Jets vs. Bills Prediction 9/13/20

It is always a challenge finding perceived value in the Week 1 lines, but even more so this season with not even some preseason action to analyze. I'm going to go with the trend in this series, which has seen seven or fewer points decide the last three games. The weather forecast is calling for a chance of rain and winds up to 15 MPH, so the run game should play a big part in today's game. No question the Bills had the better rushing game last season but the Jets offensive line has been retooled, and I still have faith in RB L.Bell returning to form. I expect another close match taking the points as the way to bet this.
 
Free Pick: 
Take the Jets +7 -130
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