NFL Week 16 Picks

Date: 
December 23, 11:52 AM EST

We roll into Week 16 off a successful week in Week 15, and we’ll look to continue the winning ways with four picks to bet from Sunday’s slate of games.

In Week 15 the plays went 3-1 winning easily on Titans -1 over the Giants, Cowboys/Colts UNDER 47, and the Dolphins/Vikings OVER 44.5. The losing selection came on the Card/Falcons total where Atlanta found a running game leading to a season-high 40 points and 54 total points crushing my UNDER 44 wager.

2018 Season Record: 27-19 ATS +6.10

Week 2: 3-1, Week 3: 2-1, Week 4: 2-1, Week 5: 2-1, Week 6: 1-3, Week 7: 0-3, Week 8: 2-0, Week 9: 2-1, Week 10: 1-1, Week 11: 2-2, Week 12: 4-1, Week 13: 1-2, Week 14: 2-1, Week 15: 3-1.


Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Spread: Vikings -6.5
Total: 43.5

The Vikings are coming off of a 41-17 spanking of the Dolphins last week. Minnesota held the Dolphins to just 37 yards through the air in that game for back to back games allowing their opponent 60 or fewer yards per game. Their run defense has been a different story allowing 148 or greater yards in four of their last five. The good thing for the Vikings is that the Lions with their 24th ranked rushing offense is unlikely going to be able to capitalize on the weakness. To make matters worse leading rusher Kerryon Johnson is on the IR list and power back LeGarrette Blunt is iffy today with a calf injury. If Blount is unable to go, that would leave Zach Zenner and third-down back Theo Riddick left to carry the load.

The Lions lost for the third time in four games falling to Buffalo on the road 14-13. WR Kenny Golladay had a big day in the defeat catching seven balls for 146 yards, but he’s dealing with a chest injury. Even if he is “good to go” he’ll be facing the Viks’ corners Trae Waynes and Xavier Rhodes who may be the best combo in the league. Golladay has at times struggled against top-level CBs case in point would be his two catches for five yards versus the Cardinals and CB Patrick Peterson in Week 14.

Minnesota won the earlier match 24-9, and that was with top two WR Marion Jones and starting RB Kerryon Johnson in the game. I see no reason to think that the change of venue will have that big of an impact on the game.

Take the Minnesota Vikings -6.5 and UNDER 43.5

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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

Spread: Patriots -13.5
Total: 45.5

The Bills have won three of their last five games and could have easily won in the two games they lost getting beat 21-17 in a poorly reffed game in Miami and losing late to the NY Jets 27-14. Buffalo faced New England at home back on October 29th, and while they were on the wrong side of a 25-6 score, they were trailing by just six going into the fourth. Additionally, the final was result was inflated by an 84 yards Pick 6 by Pats Devin McCourty with inside of six minutes left. Note: Derek Anderson was the starter in that game, and this time around they will have Josh Allen at QB.

Take the Buffalo Bills + 13.5

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Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks

Spread: Chiefs -2
Total: 55

The Chiefs are 2-2 in their last four but could easily be 0-4 needing a late comeback over the Raiders and a late score and OT to get by the Ravens. The Seahawks broke off a four-game winning streak losing on the road to the 49ers in OT. They can be beaten at home as proven by the Rams and Chargers, but both teams ran extremely well in the wins which is something that the Chiefs haven’t proven that can do after cutting Kareem Hunt

Take the Seattle Seahawks +2
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