New York Jets at Miami Dolphins Pick - Against the Spread Prediction

November 4, 1:00 PM EST

Betting Odds

Point Spread: 
Miami -3

The New York Jets (3-5) and Miami Dolphins (4-4) will lock horns in The Sunshine State when the two square off in a critical AFC East collision on Sunday, October 4th, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET. The game will be televised on regional demographics on CBS. Recently, the Dolphins have had the Jets number, as they have won four of the last five meetings between these two bitter rivals. The two last met in the Meadowlands on September 16th where Miami jumped out to a 20-0 lead against Gang Green emerging victorious as a three-point underdog in a 20-12 final.

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New York Jets at Miami Dolphins Overview

New York Jets

The Jets come into this match off their second loss in a row when they were defeated 24-10 in the Windy City last Sunday by the Chicago Bears. The Jets failed to cover as a 7.5-point underdog. Previous to this, Chicago's divisional rival Minnesota put a 37-17 beat-down on the Jets in the Meadowlands.

Miami Dolphins

Like their counterparts, the Dolphins also enter into this contest on the heels of a two-game losing streak. In the last two weeks, Miami’s defense has had no answer for either Detroit or Houston as they have surrendered an average of 37 points in their previous two losses. Miami’s last win came at home on October 14th in overtime against the very Chicago Bears team that the Jets lost to last week. This is likely playing an influence on this market, as well.

Reasons to Avoid Miami

We have seen what the Jets can do against defenses that allow Sam Darnold to get going as they have scored 124 points in their three wins this season. In this regard, New York's offense attacks from a well-balanced approach implementing a heavy dose of Crowell and Powell to complement the passing attack. Given Miami's defensive performance as of the last two weeks, there is plenty of reason to fear laying three points here with the hosts.

Reasons to Back New York

In addition to the narrative above, a bias of recent results also allows New York takers to snag some value. The Dolphins have controlled this series, but the market still believes that if this game were on a neutral site, it would be a toss-up. This is where we take advantage. New York won its first game this year on the road against a football team known for home-field advantage in Detroit. You can rest assured that the Jets won't bat an eye about the environs against a hated foe like Miami.

New York at Miami Prediction 11/04/2018

New York will enter this contest looking to avenge the defeat they suffered against Miami earlier at home this season and furthermore end their supremacy as of recent in this rivalry series. This contest has upset written all over it if you even want to call it that. Jets on the Money Line is the right call here.

Free Pick: 
Take New York +140